Switzerland vs. Algeria

$171.5K Vol
2026年7月3日
Active
概率趋势
No 53.5%
Yes 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「Switzerland vs. Algeria」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Switzerland 以压倒性的 4,650% 获胜概率主导市场；Draw (Switzerland vs. Algeria) 以 2,950% 位居第二，Algeria 以 2,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $171.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Switzerland (4,650%)：Switzerland 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,650¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $136.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Draw (Switzerland vs. Algeria) (2,950%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Draw (Switzerland vs. Algeria) 保持着 2,950% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 2,950¢。
  • Algeria (2,350%)：以 2,350% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Algeria 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Switzerland4650.0%$136.0K4650¢-4550¢
2Draw (Switzerland vs. Algeria)2950.0%$17.9K2950¢-2850¢
3Algeria2350.0%$17.6K2350¢-2250¢

裁决规则

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, July 2, 2026 between Switzerland and Algeria.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x46fF43CBC2C78B55E529773De329c0f05e440F91-1778048902074
    $5.00

    Bought 16.666665 Yes for Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? at 0.3

  • 08:32 AM
    SHshpr
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083332 Yes for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.48

  • 08:31 AM
    CHCharlottefdfb
    $18.29

    Bought 34.5 No for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.53

  • 08:31 AM
    LOLoufgbfg
    $29.47

    Bought 61.4 Yes for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.48

  • 08:31 AM
    DEDeliadfgb
    $14.73

    Bought 27.8 No for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.53

  • 08:25 AM
    CHchism
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333332 Yes for Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? at 0.3

  • 08:25 AM
    TATalukder420
    $1.00

    Bought 4.166665 Yes for Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.24

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0x8E6256aF211aE761Fd5eCA3f9C2626BaCaE8e6fE-1776122085108
    $4.89

    Sold 10.41 Yes for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.47

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0x8E6256aF211aE761Fd5eCA3f9C2626BaCaE8e6fE-1776122085108
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416665 Yes for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.48

  • 08:25 AM
    KIKingShashaq
    $3.00

    Bought 12.5 Yes for Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02? at 0.24

  • 08:15 AM
    SASantaIsNotReal
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416665 Yes for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.48

  • 08:14 AM
    ILilwolfjp
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416665 Yes for Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$2,228.59
Volume
$92,025.85
Positions
No
A52
0xa5ef…2966
Event PnL
+$25,092.55
Volume
$37,544.97
Positions
NoNoNo
SW3
swisstony
Event PnL
-$929.13
Volume
$36,426.67
Positions
YesYesYes
UN4
unbribeableref
Event PnL
-$549.57
Volume
$29,999.80
Positions
Yes
KN5
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$6.76
Volume
$7,947.73
Positions
NoNoNo
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$292.70
Volume
$6,891.81
Positions
YesNoYes
SS7
ss0855
Event PnL
-$162.52
Volume
$6,501.00
Positions
Yes
IM8
imjustalarp
Event PnL
-$120.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
YesYes

常见问题

当前市场对「Switzerland vs. Algeria」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Switzerland 以 4,650% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Draw (Switzerland vs. Algeria)（2,950%），以及 Algeria（2,350%）。该市场总成交量已达 $171.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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