Brazil vs. Norway - More Markets

$110.9K Vol
2026年7月6日
Active
概率趋势
Brazil 66.5%
Norway 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「Brazil vs. Norway - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,350% 获胜概率主导市场；Brazil O/U 0.5 以 8,450% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 7,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $110.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,350%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,350¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Brazil O/U 0.5 (8,450%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Brazil O/U 0.5 保持着 8,450% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,450¢。
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,800%)：以 7,800% 的概率位列第三，市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (7,750%)、1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,200%)，以及 Norway O/U 0.5 (6,700%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Team to Advance 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
2Brazil O/U 0.58450.0%$778450¢-8350¢
32nd Half O/U 0.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
4O/U 1.57750.0%$437750¢-7650¢
51st Half O/U 0.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
6Norway O/U 0.56700.0%$1196700¢-6600¢
7Team to Advance6650.0%$53.8K6650¢-6550¢
8Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
9Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
10Both Teams to Score5850.0%$26.7K5850¢-5750¢
11Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
12O/U 2.55350.0%$11.7K5350¢-5250¢
13Brazil O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
14Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
162nd Half O/U 1.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
17Norway 1st Half O/U 0.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
181st Half O/U 1.53500.0%$923500¢-3400¢
19O/U 3.53150.0%$6.8K3150¢-3050¢
20Norway O/U 1.53000.0%$1733000¢-2900¢
21Brazil (-1.5)2750.0%$1.8K2750¢-2650¢
22Both Teams to Score in Second Half2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
23Will the Match Go to Extra Time?2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
24Brazil O/U 2.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
25Both Teams to Score in First Half2050.0%$532050¢-1950¢
262nd Half O/U 2.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
27Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
28Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
29O/U 4.51550.0%$5.7K1550¢-1450¢
301st Half O/U 2.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
31Brazil (-2.5)1150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
32Norway O/U 2.51000.0%$3741000¢-900¢
33Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
34Norway (-1.5)850.0%$771850¢-750¢
35O/U 5.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
36Brazil (-4.5)500.0%$51500¢-400¢
37Brazil (-3.5)400.0%—400¢-300¢
38Norway (-4.5)320.0%$393320¢-220¢
39Norway (-2.5)205.0%—205¢-105¢
40O/U 6.5200.0%—200¢-100¢
41O/U 7.5110.0%$125110¢-10¢
42Brazil (-5.5)75.0%$50875¢25¢
43Norway (-5.5)65.0%$45065¢35¢
44O/U 8.555.0%$34155¢45¢
45Norway (-3.5)40.0%$91840¢60¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 1, 2026

  • 09:07 PM
    COCONTi-89
    $20.00

    Bought 29.850745 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 09:00 PM
    POpokemo
    $1.88

    Bought 2.81 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 08:59 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 08:59 PM
    ——
    $1.01

    Bought 1.50746 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 08:59 PM
    KEkennedychad
    $1.01

    Bought 1.50746 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 08:59 PM
    SBsbjtnv9v6eun
    $1.10

    Bought 1.64179 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 08:59 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $18.53

    Sold 28.07 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    0X0x7E6f14cd14967a6D3eCa584c0866e7104BC531ae-1781159564817
    $250.00

    Bought 833.333332 Over for Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 08:52 PM
    MZmzdax5x3355
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 Over for Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 at 0.53

  • 08:52 PM
    MYMyInfinity
    $20.00

    Bought 66.666665 Over for Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 08:51 PM
    0X0x625ef4722F1E55c796E50E82d5ad617Aa09e3930-1778779455858
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

  • 08:48 PM
    COCometFader
    $10.05

    Bought 15 Brazil for Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance at 0.67

常见问题

当前市场对「Brazil vs. Norway - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,350% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Brazil O/U 0.5（8,450%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（7,800%）。该市场总成交量已达 $110.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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