Belgium vs. Senegal - More Markets

$176.2K Vol
2026年7月2日
Active
概率趋势
Under 55.5%
Over 44.5%

核心摘要

根据「Belgium vs. Senegal - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场；Belgium O/U 0.5 以 7,600% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 7,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $176.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,050%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $110 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Belgium O/U 0.5 (7,600%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Belgium O/U 0.5 保持着 7,600% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,600¢。
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,400%)：以 7,400% 的概率位列第三，市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (7,150%)、1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,600%)，以及 Senegal O/U 0.5 (6,600%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Team to Advance 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59050.0%$1109050¢-8950¢
2Belgium O/U 0.57600.0%$1747600¢-7500¢
32nd Half O/U 0.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
4O/U 1.57150.0%$42.8K7150¢-7050¢
51st Half O/U 0.56600.0%$8416600¢-6500¢
6Senegal O/U 0.56600.0%$1206600¢-6500¢
7Team to Advance5850.0%$29.0K5850¢-5750¢
8Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.55500.0%$175500¢-5400¢
9Both Teams to Score5250.0%$7.8K5250¢-5150¢
10Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
11O/U 2.54450.0%$53.4K4450¢-4350¢
12Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
13Belgium O/U 1.54150.0%$1.5K4150¢-4050¢
142nd Half O/U 1.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
15Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.53600.0%$813600¢-3500¢
16Will the Match Go to Extra Time?3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
171st Half O/U 1.52900.0%$1222900¢-2800¢
18Senegal O/U 1.52850.0%$7842850¢-2750¢
19O/U 3.52450.0%$10.8K2450¢-2350¢
20Both Teams to Score in Second Half2450.0%$92450¢-2350¢
21Belgium (-1.5)2050.0%$1.1K2050¢-1950¢
22Both Teams to Score in First Half1800.0%$141800¢-1700¢
23Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
242nd Half O/U 2.51700.0%$51700¢-1600¢
25Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
26Belgium O/U 2.51650.0%$6131650¢-1550¢
27Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
28Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
29O/U 4.51050.0%$5.0K1050¢-950¢
301st Half O/U 2.51000.0%$6441000¢-900¢
31Senegal (-1.5)950.0%$9.2K950¢-850¢
32Senegal O/U 2.5900.0%$942900¢-800¢
33Belgium (-2.5)750.0%$11750¢-650¢
34Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
35O/U 5.5395.0%$17395¢-295¢
36Senegal (-2.5)275.0%$1.6K275¢-175¢
37Belgium (-3.5)250.0%$161250¢-150¢
38Senegal (-4.5)165.0%$251165¢-65¢
39Belgium (-5.5)165.0%$252165¢-65¢
40O/U 6.5150.0%$151150¢-50¢
41Belgium (-4.5)90.0%$39890¢10¢
42Senegal (-3.5)65.0%$5.4K65¢35¢
43O/U 8.560.0%$5560¢40¢
44O/U 7.555.0%$20055¢45¢
45Senegal (-5.5)5.0%$2.6K5¢95¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:38 AM
    KLklfn2
    $442.50

    Bought 750 Belgium for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.59

  • 08:37 AM
    HAharith94
    $14.84

    Bought 36.19 Senegal for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.41

  • 08:32 AM
    MOMontelibero
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Belgium for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.6

  • 08:30 AM
    JIjieke001521
    $2.00

    Bought 4.878047 Senegal for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.41

  • 08:25 AM
    TOtom11 - 6926
    $25.00

    Bought 55.555554 Over for Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 at 0.45

  • 08:25 AM
    TOtom11 - 6926
    $15.00

    Bought 60 Over for Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 at 0.25

  • 08:23 AM
    TWtweek
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439023 Senegal for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.41

  • 08:18 AM
    0X0xD86125aFE161AFe715b56aBBFc1AF8E5a3e1672C-1776848782830
    $5.00

    Bought 16.666665 Over for Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5 at 0.3

  • 08:18 AM
    0X0xD86125aFE161AFe715b56aBBFc1AF8E5a3e1672C-1776848782830
    $10.00

    Bought 22.222221 Over for Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 at 0.45

  • 08:13 AM
    AHahms
    $1.22

    Sold 3.06 Senegal for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.4

  • 08:13 AM
    0X0xA57943dC7806273864C507Ef65c3382308C5C7Ab-1782045013613
    $20.00

    Bought 48.780486 Senegal for Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance at 0.41

  • 08:10 AM
    DEdeezylabs
    $4.50

    Bought 5 Under for Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 at 0.9

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AL1
Allezpapa
Event PnL
+$351.01
Volume
$70,103.15
Positions
OverOver
SW2
swisstony
Event PnL
+$5.99
Volume
$65,214.05
Positions
UnderUnderBelgium+16
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$274.99
Volume
$24,282.08
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+9
GC4
GC-P
Event PnL
-$59.71
Volume
$4,303.67
Positions
UnderBelgiumBelgium+1
NM5
NM-P
Event PnL
-$49.85
Volume
$4,037.39
Positions
UnderBelgiumBelgium+3
EV6
evoi9
Event PnL
+$15.59
Volume
$3,117.59
Positions
Belgium
UA7
UAMe
Event PnL
-$17.50
Volume
$2,996.75
Positions
UnderUnderBelgium+3
098
098765434567i
Event PnL
+$12.82
Volume
$2,565.00
Positions
Senegal

常见问题

当前市场对「Belgium vs. Senegal - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Belgium O/U 0.5（7,600%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（7,400%）。该市场总成交量已达 $176.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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