Australia vs. Egypt - More Markets

$86.4K Vol
2026年7月3日
Active
概率趋势
Under 99.8%
Over 0.2%

核心摘要

根据「Australia vs. Egypt - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 8,600% 获胜概率主导市场；Egypt O/U 0.5 以 6,850% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $86.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (8,600%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,600¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $156 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Egypt O/U 0.5 (6,850%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Egypt O/U 0.5 保持着 6,850% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,850¢。
  • 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (6,750%)：以 6,750% 的概率位列第三，市场对 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (6,050%)、Australia O/U 0.5 (6,050%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.58600.0%$1568600¢-8500¢
2Egypt O/U 0.56850.0%$6426850¢-6750¢
32nd Half O/U 0.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
4O/U 1.56050.0%$3.0K6050¢-5950¢
5Australia O/U 0.56050.0%$1516050¢-5950¢
61st Half O/U 0.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
7Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.54650.0%$114650¢-4550¢
8Both Teams to Score4350.0%$9484350¢-4250¢
9Team to Advance4350.0%$26.3K4350¢-4250¢
10Australia 2nd Half O/U 0.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
11Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.53950.0%$263950¢-3850¢
12Will the Match Go to Extra Time?3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
13Australia 1st Half O/U 0.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
14O/U 2.53350.0%$3.5K3350¢-3250¢
152nd Half O/U 1.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
16Egypt O/U 1.53100.0%$333100¢-3000¢
171st Half O/U 1.52400.0%$92400¢-2300¢
18Australia O/U 1.52300.0%$52300¢-2200¢
19Both Teams to Score in Second Half2000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
20Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1850.0%$31850¢-1750¢
21Egypt (-1.5)1550.0%$4.9K1550¢-1450¢
22O/U 3.51550.0%$1.2K1550¢-1450¢
23Both Teams to Score in First Half1450.0%$471450¢-1350¢
24Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
252nd Half O/U 2.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
26Egypt O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
27Australia (-1.5)950.0%$530950¢-850¢
28Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5900.0%$15900¢-800¢
29Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
30Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
31O/U 4.5600.0%$143600¢-500¢
321st Half O/U 2.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
33Australia O/U 2.5600.0%$21600¢-500¢
34Egypt (-2.5)460.0%$411460¢-360¢
35Australia (-2.5)260.0%$560260¢-160¢
36O/U 5.5195.0%$667195¢-95¢
37Egypt (-5.5)165.0%$508165¢-65¢
38Egypt (-3.5)150.0%$180150¢-50¢
39Australia (-4.5)105.0%$487105¢-5¢
40Egypt (-4.5)100.0%$448100¢0¢
41Australia (-3.5)65.0%$7365¢35¢
42O/U 6.560.0%$1.7K60¢40¢
43Australia (-5.5)55.0%$4.5K55¢45¢
44O/U 7.520.0%$26.8K20¢80¢
45O/U 8.515.0%$8.7K15¢85¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:15 PM
    AHahar8657
    $10.00

    Bought 22.727271 Yes for Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score at 0.44

  • 07:51 PM
    STStatsNerd69
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263155 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.57

  • 07:45 PM
    SUsuntori
    $381.52

    Sold 681.29 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.56

  • 07:42 PM
    SUsuntori
    $388.34

    Bought 681.298244 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.57

  • 07:17 PM
    0X0x0xre
    $5.00

    Bought 8.771927 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.57

  • 07:00 PM
    TCtcrook4
    $2.55

    Bought 15.9375 Egypt for Spread: Egypt (-1.5) at 0.16

  • 06:33 PM
    KIKiwiravi
    $15.00

    Bought 26.315788 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.57

  • 06:30 PM
    0X0x3C5295869f916f626BeC1116A381886552a799E1-1782589617836
    $4.95

    Sold 5 Under for Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 at 0.99

  • 06:08 PM
    CICivilizedBabooon
    $2.00

    Bought 3.508769 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.57

  • 06:03 PM
    SOsouwilliamjs
    $14.89

    Bought 26.122806 Egypt for Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.57

  • 06:00 PM
    SPsports-pm
    $52.80

    Bought 78.805969 Under for Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 05:09 PM
    CCCCASD
    $0.00

    Bought 333.333333 Over for Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 at 0

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
-$6.91
Volume
$16,069.12
Positions
UnderEgyptUnder+14
TE2
TeenagePanda
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$3,999.99
Positions
OverAustralia
DE3
Denilzzon10
Event PnL
-$24.17
Volume
$3,076.29
Positions
Egypt
ME4
medallionstallion
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Over
NM5
NM-P
Event PnL
+$17.95
Volume
$2,842.57
Positions
AustraliaUnderNo+5
GC6
GC-P
Event PnL
+$12.95
Volume
$2,588.42
Positions
AustraliaNoUnder+2
RU7
RustyScissors
Event PnL
+$1.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Over
DE8
DeepDitch
Event PnL
+$8.98
Volume
$1,995.54
Positions
Australia

常见问题

当前市场对「Australia vs. Egypt - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 8,600% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Egypt O/U 0.5（6,850%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（6,750%）。该市场总成交量已达 $86.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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