Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets

$240.9K Vol
2026年7月7日
Active
概率趋势
Argentina 85.5%
Egypt 14.5%

核心摘要

根据「Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,250% 获胜概率主导市场；Argentina O/U 0.5 以 8,700% 位居第二，Team to Advance 以 8,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $240.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,250%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,250¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $305 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Argentina O/U 0.5 (8,700%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Argentina O/U 0.5 保持着 8,700% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,700¢。
  • Team to Advance (8,550%)：以 8,550% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Team to Advance 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,450%)、O/U 1.5 (7,250%)，以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (6,700%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59250.0%$3059250¢-9150¢
2Argentina O/U 0.58700.0%$118700¢-8600¢
3Team to Advance8550.0%$132.5K8550¢-8450¢
42nd Half O/U 0.57450.0%$57450¢-7350¢
5O/U 1.57250.0%$1.2K7250¢-7150¢
61st Half O/U 0.56700.0%$376700¢-6600¢
7Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
8Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.55950.0%$155950¢-5850¢
9Argentina O/U 1.55900.0%$8385900¢-5800¢
10Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 2.54750.0%$4.9K4750¢-4650¢
12Egypt O/U 0.54500.0%$334500¢-4400¢
13Argentina (-1.5)4350.0%$84.9K4350¢-4250¢
142nd Half O/U 1.54250.0%$174250¢-4150¢
15Both Teams to Score3950.0%$1.0K3950¢-3850¢
16Argentina O/U 2.53200.0%$1.6K3200¢-3100¢
17Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
181st Half O/U 1.53000.0%$1523000¢-2900¢
19Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
20O/U 3.52500.0%$442500¢-2400¢
21Argentina (-2.5)2150.0%$4.9K2150¢-2050¢
22Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
23Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.52150.0%$2592150¢-2050¢
24Both Teams to Score in Second Half2100.0%$62100¢-2000¢
25Will the Match Go to Extra Time?2100.0%$1332100¢-2000¢
262nd Half O/U 2.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
27Both Teams to Score in First Half1350.0%$61350¢-1250¢
28Egypt O/U 1.51350.0%$61350¢-1250¢
29Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1250.0%$111250¢-1150¢
30O/U 4.51150.0%$4581150¢-1050¢
311st Half O/U 2.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
32Argentina (-3.5)850.0%$33850¢-750¢
33O/U 5.5450.0%$412450¢-350¢
34Argentina (-4.5)400.0%$204400¢-300¢
35Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5350.0%—350¢-250¢
36Egypt O/U 2.5230.0%$414230¢-130¢
37Egypt (-1.5)205.0%—205¢-105¢
38O/U 6.5155.0%$250155¢-55¢
39Argentina (-5.5)105.0%$218105¢-5¢
40O/U 7.560.0%$560¢40¢
41Egypt (-3.5)55.0%$54255¢45¢
42O/U 8.555.0%$755¢45¢
43Egypt (-2.5)50.0%$36250¢50¢
44Egypt (-5.5)25.0%$1.5K25¢75¢
45Egypt (-4.5)15.0%$3.5K15¢85¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 7 at 12:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 4, 2026

  • 08:31 PM
    ——
    $3.47

    Bought 4.034878 Argentina for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.86

  • 08:25 PM
    SUsuntori
    $56.97

    Bought 66.244185 Argentina for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.86

  • 08:22 PM
    ELElSantitos
    $996.52

    Bought 1158.744185 Argentina for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.86

  • 08:21 PM
    MEMELL
    $1.00

    Bought 8.333332 Over for Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 at 0.12

  • 08:20 PM
    MEMELL
    $1.06

    Bought 10.6 Argentina for Spread: Argentina (-3.5) at 0.1

  • 08:19 PM
    POPoissonic
    $1.03

    Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15

  • 08:11 PM
    POPoissonic
    $1.03

    Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15

  • 08:11 PM
    SWswisstony
    $166.59

    Bought 169.989739 Under for Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 at 0.98

  • 08:10 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 14.285713 Under for Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 at 0.07

  • 08:10 PM
    POPoissonic
    $1.03

    Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15

  • 08:10 PM
    POPoissonic
    $1.03

    Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15

  • 08:09 PM
    POPoissonic
    $1.03

    Bought 6.85 Egypt for Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance at 0.15

常见问题

当前市场对「Argentina vs. Egypt - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,250% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Argentina O/U 0.5（8,700%），以及 Team to Advance（8,550%）。该市场总成交量已达 $240.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始