Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

$607.4K Vol
2026年7月4日
Active
概率趋势
Argentina 60.5%
Cabo Verde 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,500% 获胜概率主导市场；Argentina O/U 0.5 以 9,150% 位居第二，Team to Advance 以 9,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $607.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 0.5 (9,500%)：O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,500¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $295 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Argentina O/U 0.5 (9,150%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Argentina O/U 0.5 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
  • Team to Advance (9,150%)：以 9,150% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Team to Advance 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 1.5 (7,950%)、Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,950%)，以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,800%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 1st Half O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 0.59500.0%$2959500¢-9400¢
2Argentina O/U 0.59150.0%$1989150¢-9050¢
3Team to Advance9150.0%$120.9K9150¢-9050¢
4O/U 1.57950.0%$12.7K7950¢-7850¢
5Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.57950.0%$3987950¢-7850¢
62nd Half O/U 0.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
71st Half O/U 0.57400.0%$1727400¢-7300¢
8Argentina O/U 1.57150.0%$467150¢-7050¢
9Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.56900.0%$2106900¢-6800¢
10Argentina (-1.5)6050.0%$186.3K6050¢-5950¢
11O/U 2.55650.0%$34.8K5650¢-5550¢
122nd Half O/U 1.54800.0%$64800¢-4700¢
13Argentina O/U 2.54550.0%$5.2K4550¢-4450¢
141st Half O/U 1.53850.0%$1.2K3850¢-3750¢
15Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.53700.0%$1.2K3700¢-3600¢
16Argentina (-2.5)3650.0%$180.4K3650¢-3550¢
17Cabo Verde O/U 0.53500.0%$6763500¢-3400¢
18O/U 3.53350.0%$36.5K3350¢-3250¢
19Both Teams to Score3250.0%$1.7K3250¢-3150¢
20Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.53250.0%$693250¢-3150¢
212nd Half O/U 2.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
22Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.52350.0%$2122350¢-2250¢
23Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
24Both Teams to Score in Second Half1900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
25Argentina (-3.5)1850.0%$2.9K1850¢-1750¢
26O/U 4.51750.0%$5371750¢-1650¢
27Will the Match Go to Extra Time?1550.0%$7571550¢-1450¢
281st Half O/U 2.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
29Both Teams to Score in First Half1300.0%$1331300¢-1200¢
30Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?1100.0%$111100¢-1000¢
31Argentina (-4.5)800.0%$173800¢-700¢
32O/U 5.5750.0%$122750¢-650¢
33Cabo Verde O/U 1.5700.0%$850700¢-600¢
34Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 1.5500.0%$393500¢-400¢
35Argentina (-5.5)475.0%$14475¢-375¢
36O/U 6.5295.0%—295¢-195¢
37O/U 7.5150.0%—150¢-50¢
38Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5145.0%$86145¢-45¢
39Cabo Verde O/U 2.5125.0%$977125¢-25¢
40Cabo Verde (-1.5)100.0%$7.2K100¢0¢
41Cabo Verde (-2.5)55.0%$45555¢45¢
42O/U 8.555.0%$14055¢45¢
43Cabo Verde (-4.5)30.0%$2.5K30¢70¢
44Cabo Verde (-3.5)5.0%$3.9K5¢95¢
45Cabo Verde (-5.5)5.0%$3.1K5¢95¢

裁决规则

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:36 AM
    RArainZ1
    $87.83

    Sold 1097.87 Cabo Verde for Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance at 0.08

  • 08:34 AM
    0X0x10e58a06904C5b20a01902c4711171451724B7AA-1760601113754
    $20.00

    Bought 222.222221 Cabo Verde for Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance at 0.09

  • 08:33 AM
    DIDidiiiiii
    $46.50

    Bought 516.666665 Cabo Verde for Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance at 0.09

  • 08:10 AM
    REredwarri0r
    $3.55

    Sold 5.92 Argentina for Spread: Argentina (-1.5) at 0.6

  • 08:00 AM
    TOtonio88
    $200.00

    Bought 2222.222221 Cabo Verde for Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance at 0.09

  • 07:57 AM
    00001nrt
    $25.00

    Bought 25 Argentina for Spread: Cabo Verde (-5.5) at 1

  • 07:57 AM
    00001nrt
    $0.00

    Bought 25 Cabo Verde for Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5) at 0

  • 07:57 AM
    00001nrt
    $300.00

    Bought 300 Argentina for Spread: Cabo Verde (-5.5) at 1

  • 07:57 AM
    00001nrt
    $0.00

    Bought 300 Cabo Verde for Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5) at 0

  • 07:56 AM
    00001nrt
    $0.00

    Bought 300 Cabo Verde for Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5) at 0

  • 07:56 AM
    00001nrt
    $300.00

    Bought 300 Argentina for Spread: Cabo Verde (-5.5) at 1

  • 07:52 AM
    ONoneoftheppl
    $3.20

    Bought 32 Yes for Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? at 0.1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$4,116.01
Volume
$289,739.56
Positions
Cabo VerdeCabo VerdeUnder
SW2
swisstony
Event PnL
-$1,631.64
Volume
$184,698.64
Positions
ArgentinaArgentinaUnder+20
UN3
unbribeableref
Event PnL
-$518.89
Volume
$56,201.44
Positions
ArgentinaArgentina
AB4
abura2025
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$19,999.94
Positions
Argentina
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$184.27
Volume
$15,029.27
Positions
ArgentinaArgentinaUnder
GO6
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$64.86
Volume
$13,119.87
Positions
OverOverUnder+1
F57
0xf559…7740
Event PnL
+$58.48
Volume
$11,628.69
Positions
Under
KU8
kunkun168
Event PnL
-$49.03
Volume
$9,808.24
Positions
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,500% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Argentina O/U 0.5（9,150%），以及 Team to Advance（9,150%）。该市场总成交量已达 $607.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始