Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

$619.8K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
概率趋势
Vici Gaming 100.0%
REKONIX 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,First Blood in Game 2? 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 以 5,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 45% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $619.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,955%):First Blood in Game 2? 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (45%):以 45% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Any Player Ultra Kill (45%)、Any Player Rampage (45%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? (45%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Match Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1First Blood in Game 2?9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan45.0%45¢55¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%45¢55¢
5Any Player Rampage45.0%45¢55¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?45.0%45¢55¢
7Match Winner5.0%$25.2K95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Vici Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against REKONIX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:11 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $10.20

    Bought 15 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.68

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
    $1,005.49

    Bought 1500.728954 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.67

  • 08:08 AM
    0X0x06aba25e15b39559bB593565b48D5d780101c964-1778057228198
    $17.57

    Bought 25.46 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.69

  • 08:00 AM
    BAbatarata
    $1.00

    Bought 3.125 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.32

  • 07:55 AM
    KEkeviiinye
    $10.00

    Bought 14.492751 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 0.69

  • 07:53 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

  • 07:49 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

  • 07:45 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

  • 07:20 AM
    DRdrhgx
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985072 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.67

  • 06:49 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

  • 06:33 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

  • 06:25 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 4.411763 REKONIX for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BV1
bvrs
Event PnL
-$5,146.98
Volume
$17,938.97
Positions
REKONIX
BA2
barashiq
Event PnL
-$1,652.39
Volume
$11,100.66
Positions
REKONIXREKONIX
SK3
Skritopoolniy
Event PnL
-$2,738.12
Volume
$9,237.55
Positions
REKONIX
CA4
callmenuts
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$8,589.22
Positions
REKONIX
SK5
Skyfker
Event PnL
-$1,445.00
Volume
$7,707.63
Positions
REKONIXREKONIX
UN6
Uniform123
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$7,610.00
Positions
REKONIX
AR7
Ariel777
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$7,479.23
Positions
REKONIX
MO8
montechristo777
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$6,666.67
Positions
REKONIX

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?(5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(45%)。该市场总成交量已达 $619.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始