
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Any Player Ultra Kill 以 1,000% 位居第二,Any Player Rampage 以 1,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $378.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%):Both Teams Beat Roshan 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Any Player Ultra Kill 保持着 1,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,000¢。
- Any Player Rampage (1,000%):以 1,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Any Player Rampage 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Ends in Daytime (1,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (1,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (1,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Ultra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 16 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $240.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Poor Rangers and Rune Eaters, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 11, 2026
- 08:14 AM——$49.94
Bought 86.1 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.58
- 08:07 AMSUsuntori$28.57
Bought 49.258619 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.58
- 06:43 AM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$10.00
Bought 22.222221 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.45
- 06:43 AM0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404$10.00
Bought 22.727271 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 06:21 AM0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908$5.00
Bought 8.92857 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 06:21 AM0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908$5.00
Bought 8.92857 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.56
- 05:43 AMSTstanleywayno$20.00
Bought 44.444443 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.45
- 05:43 AMSTstanleywayno$20.00
Bought 44.444443 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.45
- 05:31 AMHAHawkSpirit$6.60
Bought 15 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner at 0.44
- 05:31 AMHAHawkSpirit$22.00
Bought 50 Poor Rangers for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.44
- 05:22 AMRTrtyzxx$5.00
Bought 8.771927 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.57
- 02:25 AMREReeeze$40.00
Bought 71.42857 Rune Eaters for Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Any Player Ultra Kill(1,000%),以及 Any Player Rampage(1,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $378.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
