Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

$1M Vol
2026年7月12日
Active
概率趋势
PARIVISION 100.0%
Team Spirit 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,050% 位居第二，Any Player Ultra Kill 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1M，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%)：Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $614.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,050%)：作为最可行的替代选项，First Blood in Game 2? 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,000%)：以 9,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Any Player Ultra Kill 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Any Player Rampage (9,000%)、Ends in Daytime (9,000%)，以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$614.1K9995¢-9895¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9050.0%$3819050¢-8950¢
3Any Player Ultra Kill9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4Any Player Rampage9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
5Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
14Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
15First Blood in Game 1?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

裁决规则

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between PARIVISION and Team Spirit, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 12, 2026

  • 08:06 AM
    TAtavaloa
    $6.82

    Bought 11.366665 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 08:06 AM
    SOsony11111111
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:59 AM
    ——
    $1.47

    Bought 2.45 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:59 AM
    DJdjonion27
    $755.12

    Bought 1841.756096 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:59 AM
    GEGeorgiy1
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:59 AM
    TAtavaloa
    $1.24

    Bought 2.066665 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:58 AM
    DJdjonion27
    $11.81

    Bought 28.804877 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:57 AM
    ——
    $1.47

    Bought 2.45 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 07:57 AM
    DJdjonion27
    $800.00

    Bought 1951.219511 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:56 AM
    CKckv7ever
    $40.00

    Bought 97.560974 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:45 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $5.30

    Bought 12.926828 Team Spirit for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.41

  • 07:44 AM
    0X0xfeFecE4F05C315ab5fC10758799c7Bc1867e5F4c-1782647985346
    $1.00

    Sold 1.69 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner at 0.59

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 First Blood in Game 2?（9,050%），以及 Any Player Ultra Kill（9,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 $1M，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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