Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

$223K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
概率趋势
PARIVISION 100.0%
Team Nemesis 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Ends in Daytime 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,955% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 以 1,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $223K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Ends in Daytime (9,955%):Ends in Daytime 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,955%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Beat Roshan 保持着 9,955% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,955¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (1,000%):以 1,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? (1,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (1,000%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (1,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Ends in Daytime9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Both Teams Beat Roshan9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?1000.0%$1891000¢-900¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%45¢55¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%45¢55¢
10Any Player Rampage45.0%$59845¢55¢
11Ends in Daytime45.0%45¢55¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan45.0%45¢55¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks45.0%45¢55¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill45.0%45¢55¢
15Any Player Rampage45.0%$59845¢55¢
16First Blood in Game 1?45.0%45¢55¢
17First Blood in Game 2?45.0%45¢55¢
18Game 2 Winner5.0%$38.3K95¢
19Match Winner5.0%$9.4K95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Nemesis and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against PARIVISION.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Team Nemesis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x32b237fF34821e52C7bd4bEf10F6Fce67CfbA247-1782142067456
    $6.57

    Sold 6.57 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 07:52 PM
    ADAdonisbarang
    $2.34

    Sold 2.34 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 1

  • 07:46 PM
    NOnottop6896
    $2,333.33

    Sold 2333.33 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 07:26 PM
    $0.00

    Bought 1170 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 0

  • 07:24 PM
    MIMimiza
    $2,114.00

    Sold 2114 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 06:37 PM
    0X0xCe8A2aE72F5a4E0811573D5E1e899702E9c8189F-1778417722538
    $29.06

    Sold 29.06 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 1

  • 06:30 PM
    0X0x89ea57940c25491a078c1719da06A921BF956063-1783126283676
    $1.12

    Sold 1.12 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C at 1

  • 06:20 PM
    4I4is4
    $217.00

    Sold 217 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

  • 06:20 PM
    BRbrokeboyshit
    $231.39

    Sold 231.39 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 06:16 PM
    REReZoNWW
    $0.42

    Sold 0.42 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 06:14 PM
    REReZoNWW
    $420.00

    Sold 420 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 06:13 PM
    SESergeiZol
    $391.91

    Sold 391.91 PARIVISION for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

F21
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$3,283.78
Volume
$17,287.59
Positions
Team Nemesis
DE2
degenofweb3
Event PnL
+$8.32
Volume
$16,640.78
Positions
PARIVISION
SU3
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$152.62
Volume
$11,987.10
Positions
PARIVISIONTeam Nemesis
RE4
Revenge.Trader
Event PnL
+$5.70
Volume
$11,395.94
Positions
PARIVISIONPARIVISION
F35
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$2,644.95
Volume
$10,106.67
Positions
Team Nemesis
OK6
okalright
Event PnL
+$38.34
Volume
$9,148.29
Positions
PARIVISIONPARIVISION
GO7
GonSaless
Event PnL
-$47.44
Volume
$7,226.54
Positions
PARIVISIONTeam Nemesis
B38
0xb3ba…f84e
Event PnL
+$3.50
Volume
$6,992.67
Positions
PARIVISION

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Ends in Daytime 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,955%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?(1,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $223K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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