Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

$656.9K Vol
2026年7月12日
Active
概率趋势
Vici Gaming 100.0%
MOUZ 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场；Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 以 9,950% 位居第二，First Blood in Game 1? 以 9,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $656.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? (9,955%)：Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
  • First Blood in Game 1? (9,500%)：以 9,500% 的概率位列第三，市场对 First Blood in Game 1? 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Ends in Daytime (9,000%)、Ends in Daytime (9,000%)，以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?9955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$999950¢-9850¢
3First Blood in Game 1?9500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
4Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
5Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
22Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
24Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
25Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
28Game 1 Winner5.0%$296.1K5¢95¢
29Game 2 Winner5.0%$361.1K5¢95¢

裁决规则

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between MOUZ and Vici Gaming, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 12, 2026

  • 07:54 AM
    IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518517 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 07:26 AM
    SKSK8ER
    $10.04

    Bought 18.587776 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.54

  • 07:25 AM
    SKSK8ER
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518517 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 07:20 AM
    REreghergh
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.5

  • 07:20 AM
    REreghergh
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 07:20 AM
    MOmo1sha
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.5

  • 07:19 AM
    DAdarkwhitehair
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.53

  • 07:19 AM
    DAdarkwhitehair
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 06:38 AM
    REreghergh
    $14.07

    Bought 29.936169 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.47

  • 06:38 AM
    SUsuntori
    $94.28

    Bought 174.592591 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 06:18 AM
    REreghergh
    $9.19

    Bought 19.55319 Vici Gaming for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.47

  • 06:17 AM
    SUsuntori
    $94.28

    Bought 174.592591 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?（9,950%），以及 First Blood in Game 1?（9,500%）。该市场总成交量已达 $656.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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