Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? 以 9,000% 位居第二，Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $185.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%)：Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $106.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? (9,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? (5,250%)：以 5,250% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,100%)、Any Player Rampage (5,100%)，以及 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Both Teams Beat Roshan 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $106.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Rampage | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4950.0% | $56 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between LGD Gaming and Inner Circle, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 12, 2026
- 06:57 AMSIsippaduke$43.46
Bought 53 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.82
- 05:46 AMHAHawkSpirit$6.80
Bought 40 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.17
- 05:46 AMHAHawkSpirit$7.20
Bought 40 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.18
- 05:30 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.204817 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.83
- 05:30 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.204817 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.83
- 04:14 AMYOyouyiC$85.00
Bought 499.99 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.17
- 04:08 AMWAwanone365$2.77
Bought 3.297618 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.84
- 04:07 AMANanimal.bean$227.23
Bought 1336.66 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner at 0.17
- 04:05 AMANanimal.bean$165.26
Bought 972.12 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.17
- 03:27 AMYOyouyiC$1.70
Bought 10 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.17
- 03:24 AMWAwanone365$2.77
Bought 3.297618 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.84
- 03:24 AMYOyouyiC$241.70
Bought 1421.76 Inner Circle for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner at 0.17
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Inner Circle - More Markets」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?（9,000%），以及 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?（5,250%）。该市场总成交量已达 $185.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。