
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Any Player Ultra Kill 以压倒性的 1,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Any Player Rampage 以 1,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 25% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $102.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%):Any Player Ultra Kill 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 1,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Any Player Rampage (1,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Any Player Rampage 保持着 1,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 1,000¢。
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (25%):以 25% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 2 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 25.0% | $50 | 25¢ | 75¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Habibis in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for June 30 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against Habibis.
This market will resolve to "Habibis" if Habibis win the match against Ilbirs eSports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jun 30, 2026
- 08:41 AMSYsyn.$54.65
Bought 94.22 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.58
- 08:30 AM——$8.13
Bought 9.8 Ilbirs eSports for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.83
- 08:28 AMCKckteam-01$4.60
Bought 9.787233 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:09 AMSLSlavaKpss777$198.72
Bought 354.864654 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.56
- 08:08 AM33338383833$1.66
Bought 2 Ilbirs eSports for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.83
- 08:07 AM33338383833$3.32
Bought 4 Ilbirs eSports for Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 0.83
- 08:04 AMBIbisindentod$79.89
Bought 147.95 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.54
- 08:03 AM——$16.95
Bought 36.063828 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:03 AMSAsappireflames000$4.00
Bought 6.153845 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.65
- 08:03 AMCKckteam-01$9.20
Bought 19.574467 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:03 AMCEcerp$103.93
Bought 192.47 Ilbirs eSports for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.54
- 08:03 AM0X0x59eB00x59eB0$8.52
Bought 18.127658 Habibis for Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5) at 0.47
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Any Player Ultra Kill 以 1,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Any Player Rampage(1,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(25%)。该市场总成交量已达 $102.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
