
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以压倒性的 5,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 以 5,150% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 5,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $65K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,750%):Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 保持着 5,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,150¢。
- Ends in Daytime (5,100%):以 5,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Ends in Daytime 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、First Blood in Game 2? (5,000%),以及 First Blood in Game 1? (4,950%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Game 1 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 5150.0% | $640 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4950.0% | $2 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | Game 1 Winner | 4750.0% | $8.6K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 8 | Game 2 Winner | 4750.0% | $35 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | Match Winner | 4650.0% | $55.8K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Rampage | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 7 at 5:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against BetBoom Team.
This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Team Falcons.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 6, 2026
- 08:51 PMZZZzzz87$309.14
Bought 533 BetBoom Team for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.58
- 08:42 PM0X0xf242Ec696395ea93b957827a7233B51086449e61-1774081643538$1.00
Bought 1.724135 BetBoom Team for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.58
- 08:37 PMJOJohnnyWins$353.63
Bought 841.97 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.42
- 08:27 PMZZzzaqq2$44.25
Bought 75 BetBoom Team for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.59
- 07:45 PM0X0xaA0b32e09031738c5904186d53D90FA9Fbb0c13F-1765031838315$102.70
Sold 177.07 BetBoom Team for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.58
- 07:39 PMOSosarbiygen$1.00
Bought 2.380951 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.42
- 07:32 PM0X0xd92C482F3289018a0A70Cb8AC309FcAD7088Dd9a-1772527536867$3.36
Bought 8 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.42
- 07:21 PMBLblank7633$233.80
Bought 449.61 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? at 0.52
- 07:11 PMCHchaeri$0.18
Sold 0.31 BetBoom Team for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.58
- 07:00 PMPWpwop3$2.10
Bought 5 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.42
- 06:57 PMBOBodytobody$11.43
Sold 28.57 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.4
- 06:44 PMCHchaeri$1.72
Bought 4 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A at 0.43
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 5,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?(5,150%),以及 Ends in Daytime(5,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $65K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
