Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets

$1.1M Vol
2026年7月11日
Active
概率趋势
Team Liquid 100.0%
Aurora 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Both Teams Beat Roshan 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场；First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,000% 位居第二，Any Player Ultra Kill 以 1,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.1M，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%)：Both Teams Beat Roshan 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，First Blood in Game 2? 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
  • Any Player Ultra Kill (1,000%)：以 1,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Any Player Ultra Kill 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Any Player Rampage (1,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Any Player Rampage 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
4Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

裁决规则

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Aurora and Team Liquid, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 11, 2026

  • 08:18 AM
    SIsippaduke
    $25.35

    Bought 39 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 07:57 AM
    SIsippaduke
    $6.44

    Bought 10.06 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:52 AM
    ——
    $49.91

    Bought 77.98 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:47 AM
    SIsippaduke
    $40.96

    Bought 64 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:43 AM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 07:42 AM
    ——
    $19.90

    Bought 32.096773 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 07:09 AM
    SISilverLev
    $70.00

    Bought 112.903224 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 07:05 AM
    SMsmiigul
    $4.95

    Bought 8.114753 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 07:05 AM
    SISilverLev
    $231.00

    Bought 378.688523 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 07:02 AM
    NINirvanaRebirth
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 06:48 AM
    DUDualchip
    $244.58

    Sold 394.48 Aurora for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 06:22 AM
    0X0x9332506cf9094860D30047103bf7Fe7F02A1A3db-1771083194908
    $10.00

    Bought 26.315788 Team Liquid for Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner at 0.38

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 First Blood in Game 2?（9,000%），以及 Any Player Ultra Kill（1,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 $1.1M，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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