
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Draw 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Aurora 以 5% 位居第二,Team Liquid 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $89.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Draw (9,995%):Draw 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $6.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Aurora (5%):作为最可行的替代选项,Aurora 保持着 5% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
- Team Liquid (5%):以 5% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Team Liquid 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Draw | 9995.0% | $6.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Aurora | 5.0% | $33.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 3 | Team Liquid | 5.0% | $49.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This event refers to the Dota 2 best-of-two series between Aurora and Team Liquid in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:30AM ET.
The series can end in exactly one of three outcomes: Aurora winning both games (2-0), a draw (1-1), or Team Liquid winning both games (2-0). The market matching the final series result will resolve to "Yes" and the other markets will resolve to "No".
If the series is postponed, the markets will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, the draw market will resolve "Yes".
The resolution source for this event will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 11, 2026
- 08:13 AMARartsonx$1,001.03
Bought 2327.965812 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.43
- 07:50 AMKUKuntro2$252.00
Bought 300 No for Team Liquid to win 2-0? at 0.84
- 07:35 AMIAIanfreta$2.00
Bought 2.38095 No for Team Liquid to win 2-0? at 0.84
- 07:34 AMIMimmortals$30.29
Bought 72.117856 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.42
- 07:26 AMTRtrader-54c009e3$4.58
Bought 7.51 No for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.61
- 07:24 AMECEchoRain$30.51
Bought 50.016392 No for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.61
- 07:08 AM0X0x9740b2f96F6A43d13E06efFD61B58246aD799b3a-1776064617980$20.00
Bought 48.780486 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.41
- 07:03 AMGHghostviolet$9.94
Bought 24.25 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.41
- 07:03 AMBEBeatYou6$8.98
Bought 14.962294 No for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.6
- 07:00 AMREremingt0n$7.29
Bought 18.22 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.4
- 07:00 AMWAwapol$176.07
Sold 429.45 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.41
- 07:00 AMREremingt0n$2.40
Bought 5.99 Yes for Aurora to win 2-0? at 0.4
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Draw 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Aurora(5%),以及 Team Liquid(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $89.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
