Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

$70K Vol
2026年7月1日
Active
概率趋势
Monte 59.5%
Team Nemesis 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 5,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 4,950% 位居第二,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 以 3,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $70K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (5,950%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $69.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持着 4,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,950¢。
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) (3,950%):以 3,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner5950.0%$69.8K5950¢-5850¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%$24950¢-4850¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)3950.0%$2283950¢-3850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Monte and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against Team Nemesis.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Monte.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:09 AM
    G4G4m
    $500.00

    Bought 819.67213 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.61

  • 08:09 AM
    G4G4m
    $501.17

    Bought 821.586228 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.61

  • 08:01 AM
    0X0x9f2c955BDF958f6eecB5B5b04583A2203608D0df-1769173275822
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

  • 07:43 AM
    DOdogsandcats123
    $80.00

    Sold 200 Team Nemesis for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.4

  • 07:22 AM
    0X0x23D6e2AD3B65e4D30Df1454b22A033f5a1aC18A2-1770088508778
    $9.83

    Sold 16.66 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.59

  • 06:56 AM
    $1.10

    Bought 1.833332 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

  • 06:17 AM
    NINikLucky
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

  • 05:50 AM
    LUlucyintheskywithdiamonds
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666665 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

  • 05:20 AM
    MAmasterblaster90
    $12.00

    Bought 20 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

  • 05:09 AM
    THtheboyinblack
    $21.05

    Sold 52.63 Team Nemesis for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.4

  • 04:33 AM
    SUsuntori
    $4.85

    Bought 8.083332 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

  • 04:26 AM
    0X0x90e07De9B2b664E4a914187af7455f701E7DF435-1779270773541
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Monte for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage at 0.6

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$341.64
Volume
$35,087.13
Positions
Monte
SK2
skyman44
Event PnL
+$563.31
Volume
$21,404.88
Positions
Team Nemesis
TE3
terelich
Event PnL
-$230.15
Volume
$16,806.71
Positions
Team Nemesis
HU4
humbleboy
Event PnL
+$97.82
Volume
$6,521.38
Positions
Team Nemesis
FO5
foolmetwice
Event PnL
-$84.04
Volume
$5,602.82
Positions
Team Nemesis
VI6
vibing123
Event PnL
+$85.74
Volume
$5,050.04
Positions
Team Nemesis
AS7
astapzippo
Event PnL
-$63.27
Volume
$2,818.00
Positions
Monte
DI8
dimamba
Event PnL
+$44.02
Volume
$2,767.50
Positions
Monte

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 5,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(4,950%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)(3,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $70K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始