
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
核心摘要
根据「Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Under 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Over 以 4,950% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $460.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Under (5,050%):Under 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Over (4,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Over 保持着 4,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,950¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Over | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between magic and NIP in the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In, initially scheduled for July 26 at 12:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against NIP.
This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against magic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 26, 2026
- 07:38 PMBABahs$186.62
Sold 186.62 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:37 PMKEkeinbock$6.12
Sold 6.12 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:36 PMJIJimmyman132$754.13
Sold 754.13 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner at 1
- 07:35 PMBYBYBRS46$71.42
Sold 71.42 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:31 PMSUsuntori$131.89
Sold 131.89 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:28 PMBOboycetinha$1,612.25
Sold 1612.25 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner at 1
- 07:24 PMALalteredstate$16.91
Sold 16.91 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:21 PMMRMrBruceWayne$148.14
Sold 148.14 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:20 PMTEtest114514$1.66
Sold 1.66 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:15 PM——$7.89
Sold 7.89 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:13 PMPEpervoi$9.39
Sold 9.39 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
- 07:12 PM——$5.07
Sold 5.07 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In at 1
常见问题
当前市场对「Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Under 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Over(4,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $460.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
