Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

$187.8K Vol
2026年7月27日
Active
概率趋势
Lavked 100.0%
Butterfly 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,005% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $187.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $148.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,005%):以 9,005% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5) (1,000%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (1,000%),以及 Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5) (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$148.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$209995¢-9895¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
4Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)5.0%$2095¢
7Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)5.0%$1095¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Lavked and Butterfly in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 26 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against Butterfly.

This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win the match against Lavked.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 26, 2026

  • 08:08 PM
    HEhelldfkdsf
    $20.00

    Bought 20 Butterfly for Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5) at 1

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x873A40a1f84aB34CC4BaBFC631569724DF9a54cc-1759433476641
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.57

  • 08:03 PM
    TAtakoiotec666
    $169.20

    Bought 360 Lavked for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.47

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x7a3FB8C5aD2aF4C621B2138D9579410343976712-1766367891961
    $27.60

    Bought 60 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.46

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x125667C8819f9E48328E02f83569a664eBaF16fA-1775568639448
    $6.58

    Bought 14.304346 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.46

  • 08:03 PM
    $2.12

    Bought 4.608694 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.46

  • 08:03 PM
    AAaaaa298
    $75.51

    Bought 157.31 Lavked for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.48

  • 08:03 PM
    ALAlphaPengu1n
    $16.56

    Bought 36 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.46

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x9434DED8c540983904A258170D867F10C504d8D8-1783087465566
    $1.18

    Bought 2.145453 Lavked for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.55

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x7a3FB8C5aD2aF4C621B2138D9579410343976712-1766367891961
    $27.60

    Bought 60 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.46

  • 08:02 PM
    AAaaaa298
    $394.49

    Bought 788.98 Lavked for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.5

  • 08:02 PM
    DSdsknadkasnkfjs
    $2.35

    Bought 5 Butterfly for Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AA1
aaaa298
Event PnL
-$2,216.23
Volume
$15,030.43
Positions
LavkedLavked
AV2
avonking
Event PnL
+$4.39
Volume
$8,782.15
Positions
Lavked
BA3
bajacaligold
Event PnL
+$3.82
Volume
$7,640.93
Positions
Lavked
CI4
cigarettes
Event PnL
+$3,405.33
Volume
$7,234.98
Positions
Lavked
JA5
Jardelinho
Event PnL
+$986.98
Volume
$5,945.88
Positions
ButterflyButterfly
DI6
diceking
Event PnL
-$524.75
Volume
$5,499.96
Positions
ButterflyButterfly
HE7
heres23
Event PnL
-$3,357.74
Volume
$5,134.41
Positions
Butterfly
EG8
egg70
Event PnL
-$2,701.36
Volume
$4,237.11
Positions
Butterfly

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,005%)。该市场总成交量已达 $187.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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