California Clinic Funding Proposition

2026年11月4日
Active
概率趋势
Yes 50.0%
No 50.0%

核心摘要

根据「California Clinic Funding Proposition」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,No 以压倒性的 5,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Yes 以 4,250% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • No (5,750%):No 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Yes (4,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,Yes 保持着 4,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,250¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1No5750.0%5750¢-5650¢
2Yes4250.0%4250¢-4150¢

裁决规则

Proposition 44 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would require federally qualified health centers to spend 90% of revenue on direct patient care and services that aid in providing care to low-income and underserved people.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

常见问题

当前市场对「California Clinic Funding Proposition」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,No 以 5,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Yes(4,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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