Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place

根据「Big Brother Season 28: 2nd Place」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Barrett Pfeiffer 以压倒性的 4,950% 获胜概率主导市场；Drew Campbell 以 4,950% 位居第二，Haley Thogmartin 以 4,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Barrett Pfeiffer (4,950%)：Barrett Pfeiffer 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,950¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Drew Campbell (4,950%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Drew Campbell 保持着 4,950% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,950¢。
• Haley Thogmartin (4,950%)：以 4,950% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Haley Thogmartin 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

• 替代选项：包括 Jason De Puy (4,950%)、LaTrice Verrett (4,950%)，以及 Lyric Medeiros (4,950%)。
• 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Mallory Aurichio 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

This market will resolve to the contestant who comes in second-place on Big Brother season 28.

If Big Brother season 28 concludes without a second-place finisher, or if Big Brother season 28 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The named individuals will be primarily ranked by order of elimination. If two or more individuals are eliminated exactly simultaneously, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the individuals' listed first names. This market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother season 28.