Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

$971.1K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
概率趋势
Pablo Carreno Busta 59.5%
Rafael Jodar 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以压倒性的 7,500% 获胜概率主导市场;Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 以 6,550% 位居第二,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 以 6,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $971.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (7,500%):Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $2.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 (6,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5 保持着 6,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,550¢。
  • Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 (6,550%):以 6,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner (6,500%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.57500.0%$2.6K7500¢-7400¢
2Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.56550.0%$1.6K6550¢-6450¢
3Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
4Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner6500.0%$1036500¢-6400¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$70.9K5000¢-4900¢
6Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.55000.0%$1435000¢-4900¢
7Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
8Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta4050.0%$885.3K4050¢-3950¢
12Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.52495.0%$2.4K2495¢-2395¢
13Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-2.52465.0%$1.7K2465¢-2365¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 1, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    R9R980209
    $0.00

    Sold 65.21 Jodar for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5) at 0

  • 09:00 PM
    $100.00

    Bought 250 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 09:00 PM
    0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877
    $1.96

    Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:59 PM
    0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877
    $1.96

    Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:59 PM
    NInick10s
    $392.10

    Sold 653.5 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.6

  • 08:58 PM
    0X0x0CA116849796c39E72DF4929E536402f75dE2F58-1782413481877
    $1.96

    Bought 4.9 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:57 PM
    HHHhnm
    $122.61

    Sold 204.35 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.6

  • 08:57 PM
    GOGoodShopper
    $2.59

    Bought 4.25 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.61

  • 08:56 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $8.00

    Sold 20.51 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.39

  • 08:54 PM
    KAKatetsulmao
    $20.00

    Bought 50 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.4

  • 08:53 PM
    $0.98

    Sold 2.5 Rafael Jodar for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.39

  • 08:53 PM
    HUhuntermax1224
    $15.43

    Bought 25.295079 Pablo Carreno Busta for Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.61

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CU1
Cuco84
Event PnL
-$64.09
Volume
$12,820.51
Positions
Rafael Jodar
NE2
NewTeamSosed2
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
NI3
Nikos888
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
YO4
yohan75
Event PnL
-$74.78
Volume
$3,977.25
Positions
Over 3.5Over
635
0x6318…2041
Event PnL
-$78.53
Volume
$3,206.39
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$14.77
Volume
$2,953.53
Positions
Rafael Jodar
5B7
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$33.59
Volume
$2,737.26
Positions
Under 3.5BustaPablo Carreno Busta
SW8
swisstony
Event PnL
+$10.65
Volume
$2,127.05
Positions
Rafael Jodar

常见问题

当前市场对「Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 7,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.5(6,550%),以及 Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.5(6,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $971.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始