Arizona State Treasurer Republican Primary Winner

根据「Arizona State Treasurer Republican Primary Winner」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Katherine Haley 以压倒性的 4,450% 获胜概率主导市场；Elijah Norton 以 4,450% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Katherine Haley (4,450%)：Katherine Haley 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 4,450¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Elijah Norton (4,450%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Elijah Norton 保持着 4,450% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,450¢。

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for State Treasurer of Arizona. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.