Another World Cup card reversed?

$228 Vol
2026年7月20日
Active
概率趋势
No 96.5%
Yes 3.5%

核心摘要

根据「Another World Cup card reversed?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,No 以压倒性的 9,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Yes 以 350% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $228,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • No (9,650%):No 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Yes (350%):作为最可行的替代选项,Yes 保持着 350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 350¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1No9650.0%9650¢-9550¢
2Yes350.0%350¢-250¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a yellow card or red card, or a suspension resulting from such a card, is reversed in the FIFA World Cup between market creation and the beginning of the 2026 World Cup final match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying reversal refers to an official decision to overturn or rescind such a card, or to suspend the implementation of a player or coach suspension resulting from the card, including accumulated yellow-card suspensions. In-game decisions to overturn a call on the field (e.g., through VAR) will not qualify.

Once a qualifying reversal has been officially issued, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of subsequent appeals of the reversal.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Another World Cup card reversed?」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,No 以 9,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Yes(350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $228,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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