Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens

$91.2K Vol
Sep 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Elise Mertens 94.5%
Yulia Starodubtseva 5.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%), Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,000%), and Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.59050.0%$5.7K9050¢-8950¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$7155000¢-4900¢
3Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
5Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%$7.4K5000¢-4900¢
6Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Total Sets: O/U 2.51000.0%$61000¢-900¢
11Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner700.0%$162700¢-600¢
12Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens250.0%$132.9K250¢-150¢
13Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.55.0%95¢
14Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner5.0%$4.1K95¢
15Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 9.55.0%95¢
16Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 10.55.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Elise Mertens.

This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Yulia Starodubtseva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 27, 2026

  • 09:57 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Yulia Starodubtseva for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.31

  • 09:56 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $1.55

    Bought 5 Yulia Starodubtseva for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.31

  • 09:56 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Yulia Starodubtseva for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.31

  • 09:56 PM
    $10.00

    Bought 32.258063 Yulia Starodubtseva for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.31

  • 09:56 PM
    JGjgamondi
    $1.02

    Bought 3.290321 Yulia Starodubtseva for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.31

  • 09:56 PM
    LUluismipfa
    $2.41

    Bought 7.774192 Yulia Starodubtseva for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.31

  • 09:56 PM
    $1,400.00

    Bought 2000 Elise Mertens for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.7

  • 09:56 PM
    $464.80

    Bought 664 Elise Mertens for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.7

  • 09:55 PM
    $1,400.00

    Bought 2000 Elise Mertens for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.7

  • 09:55 PM
    $1,380.00

    Bought 2000 Elise Mertens for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.69

  • 09:55 PM
    $196.65

    Bought 285 Elise Mertens for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.69

  • 09:55 PM
    $5.52

    Bought 8 Elise Mertens for Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiNo999
Event PnL
+$1,045.40
Volume
$25,191.50
Positions
Elise MertensMertensMertens
A02
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$1.46
Volume
$13,913.96
Positions
Elise Mertens
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$606.76
Volume
$10,688.34
Positions
Yulia StarodubtsevaStarodubtsevaMertens
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
+$25.86
Volume
$5,172.86
Positions
Yulia Starodubtseva
DV5
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$16.46
Volume
$3,292.00
Positions
Yulia Starodubtseva
HI6
hi774c
Event PnL
+$15.02
Volume
$3,004.82
Positions
StarodubtsevaYulia Starodubtseva
997
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$3.13
Volume
$2,974.00
Positions
Yulia Starodubtseva
1B8
0x1B8F…7893
Event PnL
-$11.00
Volume
$2,200.00
Positions
Yulia Starodubtseva

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens"?

As of the latest update, Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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