Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek

$78.5K Vol
Aug 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Aryna Sabalenka 88.5%
Sara Bejlek 11.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,850% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 8,050%, while Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner sits in third with 7,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $78.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek (8,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $77.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner (8,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner maintains a 8,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,050¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner (7,900%): Sitting in third place with a 7,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,750%), Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,950%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek8850.0%$77.8K8850¢-8750¢
2Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner8050.0%$2498050¢-7950¢
3Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner7900.0%$467900¢-7800¢
4Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set Handicap +/-1.56750.0%$2776750¢-6650¢
5Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 8.55950.0%$245950¢-5850¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Match O/U 21.53800.0%$453800¢-3700¢
14Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Total Sets: O/U 2.52700.0%$342700¢-2600¢
15Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 O/U 10.51800.0%1800¢-1700¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Sara Bejlek in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Sara Bejlek.

This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Aryna Sabalenka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 19, 2026

  • 09:12 PM
    0X0x48cFB6dB98fEfEACc6A3A030a1865de0b6adC7dF-1764056399219
    $14.00

    Bought 100 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.14

  • 09:10 PM
    STStefnc
    $20.00

    Bought 22.9885 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 08:55 PM
    $69.21

    Bought 79.551723 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 08:21 PM
    $3.00

    Bought 21.42857 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.14

  • 08:16 PM
    DDDDDSKUN
    $174.00

    Bought 200 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 07:53 PM
    0X0x848763d8DdAE107f132bFC10524fFb85C4577f21-1778415814813
    $1.00

    Bought 1.149423 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 07:46 PM
    VAvasand
    $52.20

    Bought 60 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 07:44 PM
    LELeecoTradeHappy
    $100.00

    Bought 114.942523 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 07:43 PM
    LELeecoTradeHappy
    $100.00

    Bought 114.942523 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 07:40 PM
    0X0x66f68D28Eee434d97B3f464dB4B555867f5C5bF2-1731676588106
    $5.13

    Bought 5.896546 Aryna Sabalenka for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.87

  • 07:30 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $8.20

    Bought 10.25 Sabalenka for Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs Bejlek at 0.8

  • 07:30 PM
    MOmountion
    $4.20

    Bought 30 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek at 0.14

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NJ1
njcksn
Event PnL
-$333.50
Volume
$13,339.87
Positions
Sara Bejlek
CH2
ChePengyun
Event PnL
+$10.59
Volume
$9,796.79
Positions
Aryna Sabalenka
CO3
comon119
Event PnL
-$37.49
Volume
$7,499.99
Positions
Sara Bejlek
MO4
monki1
Event PnL
+$107.63
Volume
$7,175.11
Positions
Aryna Sabalenka
BR5
Brimoz
Event PnL
-$101.78
Volume
$6,785.71
Positions
Sara Bejlek
JT6
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Sara Bejlek
DV7
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$21.82
Volume
$4,364.00
Positions
Sara Bejlek
9B8
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
+$19.99
Volume
$3,998.00
Positions
Sara Bejlek

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,850% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 1 Winner at 8,050% and Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek Set 2 Winner at 7,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $78.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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