Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska

$78.7K Vol
Aug 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Maja Chwalinska 97.5%
Cristina Bucsa 2.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set Handicap +/-1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,200% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $78.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set Handicap +/-1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Match O/U 21.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set Handicap +/-1.59200.0%$499200¢-9100¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Match O/U 21.54950.0%$1194950¢-4850¢
7Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Match O/U 22.54950.0%$294950¢-4850¢
8Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Match O/U 23.54950.0%$24950¢-4850¢
9Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Total Sets: O/U 2.5750.0%$488750¢-650¢
10Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 Winner400.0%$159400¢-300¢
11Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska255.0%$208.0K255¢-155¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Maja Chwalinska in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Maja Chwalinska.

This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Cristina Bucsa.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 15, 2026

  • 08:49 AM
    $2.64

    Bought 5.99 Over for Bucsa vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.44

  • 08:26 AM
    FRFraerAzov
    $50.00

    Bought 102.040815 Maja Chwalinska for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.49

  • 07:48 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Under for Bucsa vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.52

  • 07:48 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Under for Bucsa vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.52

  • 07:47 AM
    PRPrediktian69
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Bucsa vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.5

  • 06:39 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.97

    Bought 5.71 Cristina Bucsa for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.52

  • 06:31 AM
    MWmwsking
    $11.00

    Bought 22.448978 Maja Chwalinska for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.49

  • 04:50 AM
    0X0x0CdFf1E562Faf5EcE704Ef15f6A9fc4232E7eC9E-1780718136344
    $1,001.37

    Bought 1889.378678 Cristina Bucsa for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.53

  • 04:14 AM
    DAdaimneetishares
    $4.91

    Bought 7.553845 Over for Bucsa vs. Chwalinska: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.65

  • 04:00 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $5.00

    Bought 9.80392 Cristina Bucsa for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.51

  • 04:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $2.75

    Bought 5.5 Maja Chwalinska for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.5

  • 04:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $2.75

    Bought 5.392155 Cristina Bucsa for Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

5F1
0x5F65…1400
Event PnL
-$603.17
Volume
$15,881.18
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
NU2
0xNuttawut
Event PnL
+$1,969.44
Volume
$6,059.65
Positions
Maja Chwalinska
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$224.34
Volume
$5,041.40
Positions
Maja Chwalinska
AL4
alaskabaked
Event PnL
+$577.23
Volume
$3,498.38
Positions
Maja Chwalinska
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$3.25
Volume
$2,337.11
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$431.18
Volume
$2,210.67
Positions
Maja ChwalinskaUnder
0C7
0x0CdF…6344
Event PnL
-$26.97
Volume
$1,889.38
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
E98
0xe98c…8792
Event PnL
-$587.59
Volume
$1,865.37
Positions
Cristina Bucsa

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,200% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $78.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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