Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys

$63.8K Vol
Aug 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Madison Keys 65.5%
Sara Bejlek 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,050%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $63.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $86 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.56050.0%$866050¢-5950¢
2Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.55050.0%$515050¢-4950¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 9.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
8Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.54650.0%$3.2K4650¢-4550¢
9Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 22.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
10Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 23.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
11Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$753800¢-3700¢
12Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 Winner3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
13Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 Winner3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
14Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys3450.0%$60.6K3450¢-3350¢
15Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 10.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
16Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.51900.0%$3.2K1900¢-1800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Bejlek and Madison Keys in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Madison Keys.

This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Sara Bejlek.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 21, 2026

  • 09:05 AM
    VAVal99977
    $65.00

    Sold 100 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.65

  • 09:05 AM
    0X0x06E1173503C03974d5A0a1f5bDDb1c984B6AecDB-1774007258737
    $36.00

    Bought 102.857141 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35

  • 09:05 AM
    VAVal99977
    $66.00

    Bought 100 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66

  • 09:04 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $3.08

    Bought 5.71 Bejlek for Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 08:55 AM
    EMEmlBrg
    $4.99

    Bought 7.560605 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66

  • 08:53 AM
    OVOVOXOS
    $20.00

    Bought 30.303029 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66

  • 08:50 AM
    AGAgallae
    $4.00

    Bought 11.42857 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35

  • 08:49 AM
    GAGated
    $21.00

    Bought 31.818179 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66

  • 08:46 AM
    EMEmlBrg
    $4.91

    Sold 7.56 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.65

  • 08:42 AM
    0X0xB0250c4487cAebf3A822Ac3Fa4CcF5D0f69E174D-1786702231000
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575755 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66

  • 08:42 AM
    KOKorens
    $116.20

    Bought 332 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x023e6543301B010adba061Dd1375fD8254a85884-1767704076058
    $10.00

    Bought 28.571427 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$46.15
Volume
$29,999.96
Positions
Sara Bejlek
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$119.10
Volume
$23,820.80
Positions
Madison Keys
WI3
0xwise
Event PnL
+$46.01
Volume
$15,500.37
Positions
Sara Bejlek
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$56.83
Volume
$5,156.39
Positions
Madison KeysBejlek
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$23.50
Volume
$4,700.33
Positions
Madison Keys
MO6
mortewfenloin
Event PnL
-$19.55
Volume
$3,611.00
Positions
Madison Keys
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
-$1.51
Volume
$2,736.91
Positions
Madison Keys
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$8.55
Volume
$1,865.72
Positions
Keys

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 at 5,050% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $63.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started