
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,050%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $63.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $86 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
- Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 6050.0% | $86 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 | 5050.0% | $51 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4650.0% | $3.2K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 22.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 23.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3800.0% | $75 | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 2 Winner | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 Winner | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys | 3450.0% | $60.6K | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 16 | Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1900.0% | $3.2K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Bejlek and Madison Keys in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sara Bejlek' if Sara Bejlek advances against Madison Keys.
This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Sara Bejlek.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 21, 2026
- 09:05 AMVAVal99977$65.00
Sold 100 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.65
- 09:05 AM0X0x06E1173503C03974d5A0a1f5bDDb1c984B6AecDB-1774007258737$36.00
Bought 102.857141 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35
- 09:05 AMVAVal99977$66.00
Bought 100 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66
- 09:04 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$3.08
Bought 5.71 Bejlek for Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5) at 0.54
- 08:55 AMEMEmlBrg$4.99
Bought 7.560605 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66
- 08:53 AMOVOVOXOS$20.00
Bought 30.303029 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66
- 08:50 AMAGAgallae$4.00
Bought 11.42857 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35
- 08:49 AMGAGated$21.00
Bought 31.818179 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66
- 08:46 AMEMEmlBrg$4.91
Sold 7.56 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.65
- 08:42 AM0X0xB0250c4487cAebf3A822Ac3Fa4CcF5D0f69E174D-1786702231000$5.00
Bought 7.575755 Madison Keys for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.66
- 08:42 AMKOKorens$116.20
Bought 332 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35
- 08:36 AM0X0x023e6543301B010adba061Dd1375fD8254a85884-1767704076058$10.00
Bought 28.571427 Sara Bejlek for Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys at 0.35
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys"?
As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5 at 5,050% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $63.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
