
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Spread -8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,650% chance of winning. Spread -9.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $147.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Spread -8.5 (5,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Spread -9.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -9.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
- Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%), Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%), and Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Natasha Mack: Points O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -8.5 | 5650.0% | $21.9K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 2 | Spread -9.5 | 5250.0% | $105.1K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 3 | Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Natasha Mack: Points O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Laura Juskaite: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Kiki Rice: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | $130 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | $139 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | $88 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Laura Juskaite: Assists O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | $44 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Natasha Mack: Points O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | $25 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Sami Whitcomb: Assists O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 4990.0% | $173 | 4990¢ | -4890¢ |
| 24 | Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 4990.0% | $163 | 4990¢ | -4890¢ |
| 25 | Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 22.5 | 4990.0% | $718 | 4990¢ | -4890¢ |
| 26 | Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 23.5 | 4990.0% | $448 | 4990¢ | -4890¢ |
| 27 | Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.5 | 4985.0% | $663 | 4985¢ | -4885¢ |
| 28 | O/U 172.5 | 4150.0% | $43.7K | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 29 | O/U 173.5 | 3800.0% | $151.8K | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 30 | O/U 174.5 | 3500.0% | $49.3K | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 31 | O/U 176.5 | 2850.0% | $28.1K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 32 | O/U 177.5 | 2650.0% | $4.4K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 33 | Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury | 1600.0% | $42.9K | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".
If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 29, 2026
- 09:34 PMCHChickenTenders$78.00
Bought 130 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 at 0.6
- 09:28 PMSOsoday$200.00
Bought 384.615383 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) at 0.52
- 08:55 PMSTstyllo$180.00
Bought 290.322578 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.62
- 08:38 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$1.02
Bought 2.42857 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.42
- 08:38 PMCMcmemaverick$0.74
Bought 1.45 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51
- 08:38 PM0X0xC42caB459BaB678A414A4f8C8054a832e2Ad42A1-1748375989996$24.99
Bought 49 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51
- 08:38 PMFLFlaznorp$4.65
Bought 7.881353 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.59
- 08:37 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$1.02
Bought 2.125 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5) at 0.48
- 08:05 PMPRProTradering$3.26
Bought 4.12658 Phoenix Mercury for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.79
- 08:02 PM0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460$5.00
Bought 9.433961 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53
- 08:00 PMWAWalrusPunch$3.34
Bought 6.297923 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53
- 08:00 PM0X0x187wyytangerrine$292.00
Bought 595.918366 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.49
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury"?
As of the latest update, Spread -8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,650% win probability, followed by Spread -9.5 at 5,250% and Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $147.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
