Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury

$147.7K Vol
Aug 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Phoenix Mercury 84.0%
Toronto Tempo 16.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,650% chance of winning. Spread -9.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $147.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -8.5 (5,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -9.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -9.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%), Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%), and Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Natasha Mack: Points O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -8.55650.0%$21.9K5650¢-5550¢
2Spread -9.55250.0%$105.1K5250¢-5150¢
3Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Natasha Mack: Points O/U 9.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
8Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Laura Juskaite: Rebounds O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Kiki Rice: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%$1305000¢-4900¢
13Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.55000.0%$1395000¢-4900¢
14Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 4.55000.0%$885000¢-4900¢
15Laura Juskaite: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%$445000¢-4900¢
18Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
19Natasha Mack: Points O/U 10.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
20Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Sami Whitcomb: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.54990.0%$1734990¢-4890¢
24Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.54990.0%$1634990¢-4890¢
25Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 22.54990.0%$7184990¢-4890¢
26Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 23.54990.0%$4484990¢-4890¢
27Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.54985.0%$6634985¢-4885¢
28O/U 172.54150.0%$43.7K4150¢-4050¢
29O/U 173.53800.0%$151.8K3800¢-3700¢
30O/U 174.53500.0%$49.3K3500¢-3400¢
31O/U 176.52850.0%$28.1K2850¢-2750¢
32O/U 177.52650.0%$4.4K2650¢-2550¢
33Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury1600.0%$42.9K1600¢-1500¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 29, 2026

  • 09:34 PM
    CHChickenTenders
    $78.00

    Bought 130 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 at 0.6

  • 09:28 PM
    SOsoday
    $200.00

    Bought 384.615383 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 08:55 PM
    STstyllo
    $180.00

    Bought 290.322578 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.62

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.02

    Bought 2.42857 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.42

  • 08:38 PM
    CMcmemaverick
    $0.74

    Bought 1.45 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xC42caB459BaB678A414A4f8C8054a832e2Ad42A1-1748375989996
    $24.99

    Bought 49 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:38 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.65

    Bought 7.881353 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.59

  • 08:37 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.02

    Bought 2.125 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5) at 0.48

  • 08:05 PM
    PRProTradering
    $3.26

    Bought 4.12658 Phoenix Mercury for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.79

  • 08:02 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.433961 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53

  • 08:00 PM
    WAWalrusPunch
    $3.34

    Bought 6.297923 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53

  • 08:00 PM
    0X0x187wyytangerrine
    $292.00

    Bought 595.918366 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$4,923.45
Volume
$164,662.91
Positions
UnderToronto TempoUnder+5
HU2
huli3882
Event PnL
-$78.64
Volume
$145,873.31
Positions
OverOverOver+4
SA3
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$115.09
Volume
$57,153.80
Positions
OverOverOver+1
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$671.26
Volume
$38,781.31
Positions
UnderUnderPhoenix Mercury+4
F65
0xf668…3123
Event PnL
-$1,729.97
Volume
$28,704.24
Positions
Toronto Tempo
SU6
SunlineTicker
Event PnL
+$45.93
Volume
$26,000.38
Positions
OverUnderToronto Tempo+2
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$784.87
Volume
$21,978.85
Positions
UnderPhoenix MercuryUnder+1
HE8
0xheavy888
Event PnL
-$46.59
Volume
$13,945.61
Positions
Phoenix MercuryUnderPhoenix Mercury+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury"?

As of the latest update, Spread -8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,650% win probability, followed by Spread -9.5 at 5,250% and Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $147.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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