Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics

$119.5K Vol
Aug 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Minnesota Lynx 56.5%
Washington Mystics 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 29% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $119.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 (29%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 29¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $32 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.529.0%$3229¢71¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 21 at 7:30PM ET:

If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".

If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 29% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 40.8% — yielding an impressive +11.8% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Best EV29.0%40.8%+11.8%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 21, 2026

  • 08:52 AM
    QUquavoo
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5 at 0.49

  • 08:31 AM
    GOGold39
    $25.00

    Bought 48.076922 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5 at 0.52

  • 08:01 AM
    QUquavoo
    $4.68

    Bought 9 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5 at 0.52

  • 08:01 AM
    VEveronica43
    $18.97

    Bought 48.641024 Washington Mystics for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics at 0.39

  • 07:56 AM
    00004320
    $20.00

    Bought 32.258063 Minnesota Lynx for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics at 0.62

  • 07:55 AM
    MOmolly58
    $7.04

    Bought 18.051281 Washington Mystics for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics at 0.39

  • 07:48 AM
    CHchristinahines
    $17.94

    Bought 28.935481 Minnesota Lynx for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics at 0.62

  • 07:46 AM
    ZMzmt6611
    $50.28

    Bought 102.61 Under for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5 at 0.49

  • 07:37 AM
    FOfosterelizabeth
    $23.44

    Bought 37.80645 Minnesota Lynx for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics at 0.62

  • 07:35 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Under for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5 at 0.49

  • 07:34 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Under for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5 at 0.54

  • 07:31 AM
    QUquavoo
    $24.44

    Bought 47 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5 at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HU1
huli3882
Event PnL
+$800.80
Volume
$26,749.11
Positions
OverOverOver+2
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$114.19
Volume
$25,632.71
Positions
OverUnderUnder+7
QU3
quavoo
Event PnL
-$459.87
Volume
$22,476.00
Positions
UnderOverMinnesota Lynx+5
SE4
sentrio
Event PnL
-$162.94
Volume
$9,112.78
Positions
Minnesota LynxMinnesota LynxOver+8
HG5
hgawx
Event PnL
+$262.56
Volume
$9,074.29
Positions
OverOver
RA6
rabbitfoot1
Event PnL
-$260.74
Volume
$8,691.64
Positions
Under
CA7
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$18.88
Volume
$5,991.73
Positions
Washington Mystics
FI8
fifa0701
Event PnL
+$146.30
Volume
$5,905.56
Positions
OverUnderOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics"?

As of the latest update, Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 29% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $119.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 29% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 40.8% — an Expected Value gap of +11.8%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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