Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire

$84.7K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Golden State Valkyries 67.5%
Portland Fire 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire follows in second place at 6,950%, while O/U 157.5 sits in third with 5,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $84.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.5 (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
  • O/U 157.5 (5,450%): Sitting in third place with a 5,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 157.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 11.5 (5,400%), Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 12.5 (5,400%), and Spread -5.5 (5,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
2Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire6950.0%$30.4K6950¢-6850¢
3O/U 157.55450.0%$16.0K5450¢-5350¢
4Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 11.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
5Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 12.55400.0%$25400¢-5300¢
6Spread -5.55350.0%$39.8K5350¢-5250¢
7Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.55350.0%$1365350¢-5250¢
8Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 4.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
10O/U 158.55150.0%$12.0K5150¢-5050¢
11Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12O/U 159.54850.0%$6594850¢-4750¢
13Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 13.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
14Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
15Emily Engstler: Rebounds O/U 6.54650.0%$374650¢-4550¢
16Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
17Veronica Burton: Points O/U 14.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
18Emily Engstler: Points O/U 11.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
19Tiffany Hayes: Assists O/U 3.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
20Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 15.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
21Tiffany Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
22Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
23Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 14.54050.0%$384050¢-3950¢
24Kaitlyn Chen: Assists O/U 2.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
25Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
26Emily Engstler: Assists O/U 2.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 30 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:23 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 09:21 PM
    NInigiri99
    $244.40

    Bought 470 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 09:19 PM
    CCCCP6969
    $58.79

    Bought 122.479165 Portland Fire for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) at 0.48

  • 09:08 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.46

  • 09:03 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.55

  • 09:03 PM
    WSWSoKka
    $2.90

    Bought 5.918366 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.49

  • 09:00 PM
    SUsuntori
    $1.98

    Bought 3.735848 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) at 0.53

  • 08:58 PM
    WAWalrusPunch
    $12.79

    Bought 23.254544 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.55

  • 08:58 PM
    QUQuentinChen
    $1,842.30

    Bought 4005 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.46

  • 08:58 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.68

    Bought 9 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 08:57 PM
    QUQuentinChen
    $8.53

    Bought 18.96 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.45

  • 08:56 PM
    CLcloser1
    $14.56

    Bought 28 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$20.86
Volume
$35,098.72
Positions
Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$123.62
Volume
$25,933.28
Positions
Portland Fire
9E3
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$25.16
Volume
$5,250.25
Positions
OverGolden State ValkyriesOver
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$215.15
Volume
$4,803.80
Positions
OverPortland FireOver
QU5
QuentinChen
Event PnL
-$19.93
Volume
$4,023.96
Positions
Under
NO6
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$14.26
Volume
$3,294.82
Positions
Portland FireOver
AB7
0xAbF5…1494
Event PnL
+$8.70
Volume
$2,499.94
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
2A8
0x2Ab1…4007
Event PnL
+$12.36
Volume
$2,469.42
Positions
Golden State Valkyries

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire"?

As of the latest update, Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire at 6,950% and O/U 157.5 at 5,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $84.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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