Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces

$50.2K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Las Vegas Aces 89.5%
Connecticut Sun 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 164.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,650% chance of winning. O/U 165.5 follows in second place at 5,450%, while O/U 166.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $50.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 164.5 (5,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 164.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 165.5 (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 165.5 maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
  • O/U 166.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 166.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -13.5 (5,200%), Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 (5,050%), and O/U 167.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 164.55650.0%$2.7K5650¢-5550¢
2O/U 165.55450.0%$19.6K5450¢-5350¢
3O/U 166.55250.0%$1885250¢-5150¢
4Spread -13.55200.0%$2745200¢-5100¢
5Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.55050.0%$525050¢-4950¢
6O/U 167.55000.0%$3.9K5000¢-4900¢
7A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
8Spread -14.54750.0%$7.2K4750¢-4650¢
9O/U 168.54700.0%$3004700¢-4600¢
10Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Assists O/U 1.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
11O/U 169.54350.0%$7604350¢-4250¢
12Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.54250.0%$864250¢-4150¢
13Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
14Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
15Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 3.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
16NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
17Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.53600.0%$103600¢-3500¢
18Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
19Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
20Diamond Miller: Points O/U 11.53200.0%$123200¢-3100¢
21Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
22A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
23NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.53150.0%$123150¢-3050¢
24Diamond Miller: Rebounds O/U 3.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
25Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.52850.0%$32850¢-2750¢
26Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 8.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
27A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
28Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 12.52700.0%$52700¢-2600¢
29Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 13.52550.0%$142550¢-2450¢
30A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.52150.0%$1152150¢-2050¢
31Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces1050.0%$14.9K1050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 20 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun".

If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:57 AM
    QUquavoo
    $48.02

    Bought 98 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) at 0.49

  • 08:57 AM
    QUquavoo
    $49.00

    Bought 100 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) at 0.49

  • 08:57 AM
    QUquavoo
    $49.00

    Bought 100 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) at 0.49

  • 08:25 AM
    SNSnakeBall
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Over for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5 at 0.51

  • 08:21 AM
    QUquavoo
    $102.00

    Bought 200 Over for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5 at 0.51

  • 08:04 AM
    ZMzmt6611
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Yes for Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 at 0.4

  • 08:02 AM
    HUhuxinzhen
    $20.00

    Bought 22.471909 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89

  • 08:01 AM
    ZMzmt6611
    $10.20

    Bought 25.5 Yes for Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 at 0.4

  • 08:01 AM
    0X0xBF9D855f2E1eb0CF4b2C32AB5Bf767efA8fc7B99-1787212180338
    $100.00

    Bought 112.359549 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89

  • 08:00 AM
    ZHzhouhongying
    $20.00

    Bought 22.471909 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0x287d7BE0e98FdaD24829971B11C68fCF3fa8939f-1787129068721
    $20.00

    Bought 22.471909 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89

  • 07:59 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $21.90

    Bought 24.606736 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.94
Positions
Over
JA2
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$24.09
Volume
$8,826.98
Positions
Las Vegas AcesUnder
573
0x57b2…6696
Event PnL
+$29.37
Volume
$5,874.38
Positions
Under
CA4
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$53.20
Volume
$5,440.49
Positions
Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun
1W5
1winstreak1
Event PnL
+$18.91
Volume
$3,780.40
Positions
Under
SN6
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$4.08
Volume
$3,660.03
Positions
Connecticut SunLas Vegas AcesOver+4
TR7
TradingWave
Event PnL
+$16.40
Volume
$3,279.00
Positions
Connecticut Sun
HI8
hi774c
Event PnL
+$6.62
Volume
$3,089.72
Positions
OverOverUnder+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces"?

As of the latest update, O/U 164.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,650% win probability, followed by O/U 165.5 at 5,450% and O/U 166.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $50.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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