
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 164.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,650% chance of winning. O/U 165.5 follows in second place at 5,450%, while O/U 166.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $50.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 164.5 (5,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 164.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.7K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 165.5 (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 165.5 maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
- O/U 166.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 166.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Spread -13.5 (5,200%), Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 (5,050%), and O/U 167.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 164.5 | 5650.0% | $2.7K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 2 | O/U 165.5 | 5450.0% | $19.6K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 3 | O/U 166.5 | 5250.0% | $188 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 4 | Spread -13.5 | 5200.0% | $274 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 5 | Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 | 5050.0% | $52 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | O/U 167.5 | 5000.0% | $3.9K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 8 | Spread -14.5 | 4750.0% | $7.2K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | O/U 168.5 | 4700.0% | $300 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 10 | Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Assists O/U 1.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 11 | O/U 169.5 | 4350.0% | $760 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 12 | Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 4250.0% | $86 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 13 | Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 14 | Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5 | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 15 | Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 16 | NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 17 | Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 3600.0% | $10 | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 18 | Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 19 | Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 20 | Diamond Miller: Points O/U 11.5 | 3200.0% | $12 | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 21 | Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 22 | A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 23 | NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.5 | 3150.0% | $12 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 24 | Diamond Miller: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 25 | Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 2850.0% | $3 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 26 | Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 27 | A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 28 | Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 12.5 | 2700.0% | $5 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 29 | Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 13.5 | 2550.0% | $14 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 30 | A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 2150.0% | $115 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 31 | Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces | 1050.0% | $14.9K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 20 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun".
If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 20, 2026
- 08:57 AMQUquavoo$48.02
Bought 98 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) at 0.49
- 08:57 AMQUquavoo$49.00
Bought 100 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) at 0.49
- 08:57 AMQUquavoo$49.00
Bought 100 Las Vegas Aces for Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5) at 0.49
- 08:25 AMSNSnakeBall$2.55
Bought 5 Over for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5 at 0.51
- 08:21 AMQUquavoo$102.00
Bought 200 Over for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5 at 0.51
- 08:04 AMZMzmt6611$2.00
Bought 5 Yes for Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 at 0.4
- 08:02 AMHUhuxinzhen$20.00
Bought 22.471909 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89
- 08:01 AMZMzmt6611$10.20
Bought 25.5 Yes for Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 at 0.4
- 08:01 AM0X0xBF9D855f2E1eb0CF4b2C32AB5Bf767efA8fc7B99-1787212180338$100.00
Bought 112.359549 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89
- 08:00 AMZHzhouhongying$20.00
Bought 22.471909 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89
- 08:00 AM0X0x287d7BE0e98FdaD24829971B11C68fCF3fa8939f-1787129068721$20.00
Bought 22.471909 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89
- 07:59 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$21.90
Bought 24.606736 Las Vegas Aces for Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.89
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces"?
As of the latest update, O/U 164.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,650% win probability, followed by O/U 165.5 at 5,450% and O/U 166.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $50.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
