Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

$55K Vol
Aug 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Dream 73.5%
Phoenix Mercury 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Spread -5.5 follows in second place at 5,800%, while Spread -6.5 sits in third with 5,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $55K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $25.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -5.5 (5,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -5.5 maintains a 5,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,800¢.
  • Spread -6.5 (5,500%): Sitting in third place with a 5,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -6.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 175.5 (5,450%), O/U 176.5 (5,250%), and Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury7350.0%$25.9K7350¢-7250¢
2Spread -5.55800.0%$19.2K5800¢-5700¢
3Spread -6.55500.0%$535500¢-5400¢
4O/U 175.55450.0%$1.5K5450¢-5350¢
5O/U 176.55250.0%$3.8K5250¢-5150¢
6Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
9Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
12Spread -7.55050.0%$4.5K5050¢-4950¢
13Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
16Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.54850.0%$214850¢-4750¢
17Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
18Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
19Angel Reese: Points O/U 16.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
20Allisha Gray: Points O/U 19.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 7.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
22Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
23Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 9.53950.0%$53950¢-3850¢
24Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
25Naz Hillmon: Points O/U 8.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
26Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
27Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢
28Angel Reese: Assists O/U 3.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 22, 2026

  • 09:16 AM
    QUquavoo
    $112.84

    Bought 217 Over for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 at 0.52

  • 09:11 AM
    $3.92

    Bought 7.99 Under for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 at 0.49

  • 09:11 AM
    QUquavoo
    $519.48

    Bought 999 Over for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5 at 0.52

  • 08:10 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Under for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 at 0.53

  • 06:34 AM
    $8.04

    Bought 16.0794 Atlanta Dream for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 06:19 AM
    NTNTSS
    $39.69

    Bought 60.13 Atlanta Dream for Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.66

  • 06:12 AM
    PEpeachfuzz1
    $4.00

    Bought 8.163264 Atlanta Dream for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.49

  • 05:59 AM
    $3.06

    Bought 6.25 Atlanta Dream for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.49

  • 05:59 AM
    QUquavoo
    $39.00

    Bought 75 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 05:59 AM
    QUquavoo
    $345.80

    Bought 665 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 05:59 AM
    QUquavoo
    $17.16

    Bought 33 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 05:55 AM
    $1.44

    Bought 2.938774 Atlanta Dream for Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$296.63
Volume
$11,222.14
Positions
Atlanta DreamAtlanta DreamPhoenix Mercury
SP2
sportmaster777
Event PnL
-$356.46
Volume
$10,748.68
Positions
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix MercuryUnder
SE3
sentrio
Event PnL
-$21.61
Volume
$9,117.79
Positions
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream+3
CA4
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$42.21
Volume
$7,272.40
Positions
Phoenix Mercury
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$23.94
Volume
$7,076.82
Positions
Atlanta DreamOverUnder+3
1W6
1winstreak1
Event PnL
+$266.76
Volume
$4,850.02
Positions
Atlanta Dream
697
0x696A…0594
Event PnL
+$22.33
Volume
$4,781.21
Positions
Atlanta Dream
QU8
quavoo
Event PnL
+$35.18
Volume
$4,053.50
Positions
Atlanta DreamOverOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury"?

As of the latest update, Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Spread -5.5 at 5,800% and Spread -6.5 at 5,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $55K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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