Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Abdul El-Sayed is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Haley Stevens follows in second place at 4,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Abdul El-Sayed (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Abdul El-Sayed is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Haley Stevens (4,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Haley Stevens maintains a 4,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,450¢.

The Democratic Primary to contest the 2026 Michigan Senate Election is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate Mallory McMorrow endorses in that election.

An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race.

If Mallory McMorrow does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mallory McMorrow or one of her representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Mallory McMorrow's endorsement.