What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4,950% chance of winning. I Will Find You: Limited Series follows in second place at 4,950%, while Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2 sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 (4,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 4,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• I Will Find You: Limited Series (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, I Will Find You: Limited Series maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
• Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2 (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

• Alternative Options: This includes Sullivan's Crossing: Season 4 (4,950%), Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 2 (4,950%), and Ms. Rachel: Season 1 (4,950%).
• Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Danny Go!: Season 1 are still attracting notable interest.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".