What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 10)

$349 Vol
Jul 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times 91.5%
AI 35+ times 77.0%
Software 76.5%
Red 73.5%
Innovation 72.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 10)”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. AI 35+ times follows in second place at 7,700%, while Software sits in third with 7,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $349, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • AI 35+ times (7,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, AI 35+ times maintains a 7,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,700¢.
  • Software (7,550%): Sitting in third place with a 7,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Software, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Red (7,350%), Innovation (7,250%), and Regulatory (7,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Blue are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times9150.0%9150¢-9050¢
2AI 35+ times7700.0%7700¢-7600¢
3Software7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
4Red7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
5Innovation7250.0%7250¢-7150¢
6Regulatory7100.0%7100¢-7000¢
7Blue6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
8Nvidia6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
9IPO5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
10Canada5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
11Stock Market5450.0%$35450¢-5350¢
12Cancer5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
13Anthropic5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
14Disruptive5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
15Constitution5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
16Biology5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
17SpaceX 3+ times5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
18Alignment5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
19Miracle5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
20-No Qualifying Event-2450.0%$3472450¢-2350¢

Result Rules

The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.

If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 10)"?

As of the latest update, Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by AI 35+ times at 7,700% and Software at 7,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $349, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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