What price will Ethereum hit on July 11?

$5K Vol
Jul 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
↑ 1,800 100.0%
↑ 1,850 3.9%
↓ 1,750 2.9%
↑ 1,900 1.2%
↓ 1,700 0.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What price will Ethereum hit on July 11?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, ↑ 1,850 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 410% chance of winning. ↓ 1,750 follows in second place at 280%, while ↑ 1,900 sits in third with 120%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • ↑ 1,850 (410%): Currently commanding the highest probability, ↑ 1,850 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 410¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • ↓ 1,750 (280%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, ↓ 1,750 maintains a 280% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 280¢.
  • ↑ 1,900 (120%): Sitting in third place with a 120% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward ↑ 1,900, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes ↓ 1,700 (80%), ↓ 1,650 (45%), and ↑ 2,050 (40%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like ↑ 2,000 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1↑ 1,850410.0%$2.5K410¢-310¢
2↓ 1,750280.0%$1.8K280¢-180¢
3↑ 1,900120.0%$6120¢-20¢
4↓ 1,70080.0%$6180¢20¢
5↓ 1,65045.0%$645¢55¢
6↑ 2,05040.0%$1340¢60¢
7↑ 2,00040.0%$1040¢60¢
8↑ 1,95040.0%$840¢60¢
9↓ 1,55040.0%$1140¢60¢
10↓ 1,50040.0%$1540¢60¢
11↓ 1,60035.0%$735¢65¢
12↑ 2,10030.0%$16030¢70¢
13↓ 1,45030.0%$11030¢70¢

Result Rules

What price will Ethereum hit on July 11?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What price will Ethereum hit on July 11?"?

As of the latest update, ↑ 1,850 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 410% win probability, followed by ↓ 1,750 at 280% and ↑ 1,900 at 120%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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