Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

$51.8K Vol
Aug 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Nongshim RedForce 71.5%
Rex Regum Qeon 28.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Map 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,700%, while Map 2 Winner sits in third with 6,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $51.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $52.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Winner (6,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Winner maintains a 6,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,700¢.
  • Map 2 Winner (6,350%): Sitting in third place with a 6,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) (5,600%), Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (5,350%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7150.0%$52.6K7150¢-7050¢
2Map 1 Winner6700.0%$6656700¢-6600¢
3Map 2 Winner6350.0%$3446350¢-6250¢
4Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)5600.0%$1.4K5600¢-5500¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 2.5 Games4400.0%$1.1K4400¢-4300¢
17Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between Nongshim RedForce and Rex Regum Qeon in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against Rex Regum Qeon.

This market will resolve to "Rex Regum Qeon" if Rex Regum Qeon win the match against Nongshim RedForce.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 9, 2026

  • 08:19 AM
    GAGated
    $28.00

    Bought 38.888885 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.72

  • 08:15 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.48611 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.72

  • 08:15 AM
    8M8mavrme
    $50.00

    Bought 69.444442 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.72

  • 08:14 AM
    NONotWoke11
    $73.02

    Bought 101.41 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.72

  • 08:11 AM
    JIjimbomilbo
    $3.55

    Sold 5 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.71

  • 08:04 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $3.62

    Bought 8.619046 Nongshim RedForce for Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 08:04 AM
    MEmelttex
    $100.80

    Bought 240 Nongshim RedForce for Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 07:55 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 6.89655 Rex Regum Qeon for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.29

  • 07:53 AM
    VUvudaiquang
    $2.01

    Bought 6.94 Rex Regum Qeon for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.29

  • 07:48 AM
    CKckteam04
    $15.00

    Bought 25.423726 Rex Regum Qeon for Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 07:48 AM
    0X0x5b100dBef7Ec223ACF02717598789Ef90b679659-1770806179314
    $295.00

    Bought 500 Rex Regum Qeon for Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 07:38 AM
    BTBTXO
    $20.00

    Bought 27.777775 Nongshim RedForce for Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha at 0.72

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OH1
ohehe
Event PnL
-$20.48
Volume
$28,443.82
Positions
Rex Regum Qeon
SK2
skyman44
Event PnL
+$503.86
Volume
$24,112.68
Positions
Nongshim RedForce
AT3
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$119.68
Volume
$7,978.59
Positions
Nongshim RedForce
LO4
lockin2026
Event PnL
-$24.19
Volume
$2,333.34
Positions
Rex Regum Qeon
JA5
Jarod21
Event PnL
+$24.90
Volume
$1,659.72
Positions
Nongshim RedForce
DJ6
djonion27
Event PnL
-$7.66
Volume
$1,502.66
Positions
Rex Regum Qeon
GB7
gbby123
Event PnL
-$6.45
Volume
$1,290.32
Positions
Rex Regum Qeon
SA8
satman88
Event PnL
+$4.35
Volume
$870.00
Positions
Nongshim RedForce

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Map 1 Winner at 6,700% and Map 2 Winner at 6,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $51.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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