Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

$55.7K Vol
Aug 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
MIBR 75.5%
Team Envy 24.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. Map 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,850%, while Map 2 Winner sits in third with 6,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $55.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $52.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Winner (6,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Winner maintains a 6,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,850¢.
  • Map 2 Winner (6,850%): Sitting in third place with a 6,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (6,700%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (6,700%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (6,400%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7550.0%$52.2K7550¢-7450¢
2Map 1 Winner6850.0%$1106850¢-6750¢
3Map 2 Winner6850.0%$756850¢-6750¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.56400.0%$306400¢-6300¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)5850.0%5850¢-5750¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
10Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
13Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
15Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)4700.0%$3.1K4700¢-4600¢
16Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
17Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.54600.0%$1494600¢-4500¢
18Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
19Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4150.0%$474150¢-4050¢
21Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
22Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
23Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 3 match between MIBR and Team Envy in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Team Envy.

This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if Team Envy win the match against MIBR.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 21, 2026

  • 08:36 AM
    RAransack
    $10.00

    Bought 40 Team Envy for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.25

  • 08:36 AM
    RAransack
    $20.00

    Bought 46.511626 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.43

  • 08:27 AM
    02027k
    $1.25

    Bought 5 Team Envy for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.25

  • 08:22 AM
    0O0ooogway
    $25.00

    Bought 32.894733 MIBR for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.76

  • 07:27 AM
    YUyuandecheng
    $3.80

    Bought 5 MIBR for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.76

  • 07:06 AM
    YAYankeebaddest
    $17.51

    Bought 28.241934 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 0.62

  • 06:50 AM
    BIBillyB01
    $10.00

    Bought 40 Team Envy for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.25

  • 06:24 AM
    SMsmartcombo
    $3.90

    Bought 5.131575 MIBR for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.76

  • 06:24 AM
    4H4hm3d241m1e
    $2.50

    Bought 10 Team Envy for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.25

  • 06:24 AM
    4H4hm3d241m1e
    $12.50

    Bought 50 Team Envy for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.25

  • 06:19 AM
    ZEZeulinio
    $68.78

    Bought 90.5 MIBR for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.76

  • 06:19 AM
    BUBubliik
    $68.78

    Bought 90.5 MIBR for Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.76

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WI1
Wiretransferxyz
Event PnL
+$125.94
Volume
$24,999.86
Positions
MIBR
WH2
WhattDoyoumean
Event PnL
+$69.72
Volume
$13,933.50
Positions
Team Envy
SE3
sentrio
Event PnL
+$10.41
Volume
$10,811.15
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MIBR
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$7.30
Volume
$6,499.99
Positions
MIBR
575
0x57b2…6696
Event PnL
-$7.69
Volume
$6,263.61
Positions
Team EnvyTeam Envy
1W6
1winstreak1
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Team Envy
GR7
gregbeast
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Team Envy
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$16.78
Volume
$3,356.00
Positions
Team Envy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by Map 1 Winner at 6,850% and Map 2 Winner at 6,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $55.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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