Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

$60.6K Vol
Aug 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Gentle Mates GC 100.0%
SK Nebula 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $60.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs SK Nebula (+2.5) (9,995%), Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs SK Nebula (+2.5) (9,000%), and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs SK Nebula (+2.5) (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner9995.0%$3.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$54.3K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1379995¢-9895¢
4Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs SK Nebula (+2.5)9995.0%$1179995¢-9895¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs SK Nebula (+2.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs SK Nebula (+2.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Map 1 Winner5.0%$2.7K95¢
11Map Handicap: M8.GC (-1.5) vs SK Nebula (+1.5)5.0%$595¢
12Map Handicap: SK.N (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+1.5)5.0%$1095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between Gentle Mates GC and SK Nebula in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates GC" if Gentle Mates GC win the match against SK Nebula.

This market will resolve to "SK Nebula" if SK Nebula win the match against Gentle Mates GC.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 18, 2026

  • 08:53 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $0.98

    Sold 1.69 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.58

  • 08:41 AM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $3.87

    Bought 9.439023 SK Nebula for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.41

  • 08:34 AM
    QOqomroca
    $17.11

    Bought 41.731706 SK Nebula for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.41

  • 08:34 AM
    0X0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a
    $507.10

    Bought 859.49 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 08:34 AM
    QOqomroca
    $14.30

    Bought 34.047618 SK Nebula for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.42

  • 08:34 AM
    0X0xBadB9af986EE66437BD39E6cd3D3036CbbDc31a
    $59.00

    Bought 100 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 08:30 AM
    YOYosooooooo
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 07:48 AM
    0X0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4z
    $312.85

    Bought 530.25 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 07:15 AM
    ADadjoiningtolerance
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 07:00 AM
    ADadjoiningtolerance
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 06:47 AM
    T5t57vk6tx8rwb
    $7.49

    Bought 12.694914 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

  • 06:47 AM
    S7s7n6y4emhdc1
    $1.61

    Bought 2.728812 Gentle Mates GC for Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RE1
RexxEnergy
Event PnL
+$4.12
Volume
$8,249.00
Positions
Gentle Mates GC
IG2
IGBB
Event PnL
+$52.38
Volume
$5,142.83
Positions
Gentle Mates GC
CA3
casualbet2020
Event PnL
-$1,246.48
Volume
$2,938.80
Positions
SK Nebula
AL4
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$646.03
Volume
$2,023.08
Positions
SK NebulaSK NebulaUnder
OW5
owlgorithm-beta
Event PnL
+$0.96
Volume
$1,925.80
Positions
Gentle Mates GCSK Nebula
CB6
cbfe5306
Event PnL
+$67.42
Volume
$1,649.35
Positions
Gentle Mates GCGentle Mates GCOver
KE7
KeyserSoze-
Event PnL
+$11.29
Volume
$1,566.97
Positions
Gentle Mates GC
VI8
vibing123
Event PnL
+$1.95
Volume
$1,292.24
Positions
Gentle Mates GC

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $60.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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