Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

$72.7K Vol
Aug 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LOUD 52.5%
FURIA Esports 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,150% chance of winning. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 follows in second place at 6,150%, while Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 sits in third with 5,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $72.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 maintains a 6,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,150¢.
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,700%): Sitting in third place with a 5,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Match Winner (5,250%), Map 1 Winner (5,050%), and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
4Match Winner5250.0%$75.8K5250¢-5150¢
5Map 1 Winner5050.0%$135050¢-4950¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Map 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4900.0%$54900¢-4800¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
13Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
14Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
15Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
16Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
17Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)2500.0%$1112500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against FURIA Esports.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOUD.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 26, 2026

  • 09:05 PM
    0X0xEbF5B4b8FEaAfe8Ac7Bf7844fF5fa6a5A643B1D0-1770392082219
    $20.54

    Bought 42.8 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 09:05 PM
    0X0xEbF5B4b8FEaAfe8Ac7Bf7844fF5fa6a5A643B1D0-1770392082219
    $20.54

    Bought 42.8 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 09:03 PM
    JWjwocky
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 09:03 PM
    0X0xEbF5B4b8FEaAfe8Ac7Bf7844fF5fa6a5A643B1D0-1770392082219
    $20.54

    Bought 42.8 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:58 PM
    PApashoolya
    $9.60

    Bought 20 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    0404f8tgwr1973
    $12.05

    Bought 25.104165 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    1U1ulsx00nptik
    $5.91

    Bought 12.3125 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    SPsportzjock
    $1.09

    Bought 2.270832 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    ZMzmtgg31d6oo5
    $13.01

    Bought 27.104165 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    JQjqt6ht1oo8bh
    $97.01

    Bought 202.104165 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    Z3z3jefkq4se8p
    $1.50

    Bought 3.125 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:55 PM
    DJdjaklsdjla1..02zm
    $5,332.92

    Bought 11110.25 FURIA Esports for Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WH1
WhattDoyoumean
Event PnL
+$8.95
Volume
$34,540.43
Positions
LOUD
SU2
suzmie
Event PnL
+$79.46
Volume
$15,892.00
Positions
FURIA Esports
PE3
PetsViljandist
Event PnL
-$76.00
Volume
$15,200.00
Positions
LOUD
DJ4
djaklsdjla1..02zm
Event PnL
-$55.55
Volume
$11,110.25
Positions
FURIA Esports
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$0.82
Volume
$7,649.88
Positions
LOUD
BI6
binkybarnes55
Event PnL
-$23.96
Volume
$4,793.75
Positions
FURIA Esports
SO7
SORAAA
Event PnL
-$20.28
Volume
$4,056.00
Positions
FURIA Esports
ER8
Er1k23
Event PnL
+$1.08
Volume
$2,635.14
Positions
FURIA Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,150% win probability, followed by Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 6,150% and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 5,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $72.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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