
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $337.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $89.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 (9,955%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 (9,955%), and Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $89.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $12.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 9955.0% | $25 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 9955.0% | $25 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 9955.0% | $25 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 9945.0% | $5 | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 10 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 9945.0% | — | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 12 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 9005.0% | — | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 13 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5) | 9005.0% | $5 | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 14 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5) | 9005.0% | $5 | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 15 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5) | 9005.0% | $5 | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 16 | Match Winner | 5500.0% | $322.6K | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 17 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5) | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 4900.0% | $20 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 21 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 22 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 23 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 995.0% | — | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 24 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 995.0% | $5 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 25 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5) | 945.0% | $5 | 945¢ | -845¢ |
| 26 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) | 595.0% | $5 | 595¢ | -495¢ |
| 27 | Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) | 5.0% | $1.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 28 | Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 1 at 8:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against NRG.
This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against Leviatán Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 1, 2026
- 07:50 PMCScsgamer11$249.40
Bought 366.770734 NRG for Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) at 0.68
- 07:38 PMSUsuntori$1.92
Bought 3.84 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 07:36 PMOYOyar$232.75
Bought 541.287726 NRG for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.43
- 07:28 PM0X0x026dAcD3e2DD92C1311ef2E6d70a67ad96178fEC-1775681600815$24.63
Bought 43.206895 Leviatán Esports for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.57
- 07:27 PMNEneymarjridolo$144.02
Bought 248.316895 Leviatán Esports for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.58
- 07:16 PMAVAviloll$2.00
Bought 3.508769 Leviatán Esports for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.57
- 07:12 PM0X0x644b90DE49D2FfD60357c164A4fb920560ed62e6-1771343895090$10.83
Bought 19 Leviatán Esports for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.57
- 07:12 PM0X0x644b90DE49D2FfD60357c164A4fb920560ed62e6-1771343895090$10.83
Bought 19 Leviatán Esports for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner at 0.57
- 07:12 PMXIxingxingworld$50.00
Bought 100 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5
- 07:08 PMXIxingxingworld$50.00
Bought 87.719297 Leviatán Esports for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.57
- 07:06 PM0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162$2.07
Bought 3.089551 NRG for Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) at 0.67
- 07:03 PM——$1.00
Bought 1.960783 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.51
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha"?
As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $337.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
