Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

$56.6K Vol
Aug 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Fnatic 69.5%
GIANTX 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,900% chance of winning. Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 follows in second place at 6,900%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 sits in third with 5,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $56.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (6,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (6,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 maintains a 6,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,900¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,900%): Sitting in third place with a 5,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,800%), Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) (5,200%), and Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) (5,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.56900.0%6900¢-6800¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.56900.0%$106900¢-6800¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%$1295000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
14Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
15Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)4500.0%4500¢-4400¢
16O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$674450¢-4350¢
17Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5)4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
18Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)4350.0%$33.7K4350¢-4250¢
19Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
20Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
21Map 2 Winner3450.0%$3423450¢-3350¢
22Map 1 Winner3350.0%$3493350¢-3250¢
23Match Winner3050.0%$22.1K3050¢-2950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between GIANTX and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 13 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Fnatic.

This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against GIANTX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 13, 2026

  • 08:25 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:17 AM
    0000HE
    $9.66

    Bought 16.94 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:17 AM
    DUduffycuck
    $11.59

    Bought 20.34 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:17 AM
    KIKingSeb
    $8.06

    Bought 14.140348 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:17 AM
    COCOCPY
    $4.90

    Bought 8.59649 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:16 AM
    LOLorens123
    $4.34

    Bought 7.614034 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:16 AM
    0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976
    $5.00

    Bought 11.36 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:16 AM
    NONodar5
    $4.34

    Bought 7.614034 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:16 AM
    STStasPanda
    $10,672.64

    Bought 24256 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 08:16 AM
    $4.92

    Bought 10.933332 Fnatic for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 08:16 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $4.40

    Bought 7.719297 GIANTX for Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.04

    Bought 3.714284 GIANTX for Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 0.28

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SK1
skyman44
Event PnL
+$238.68
Volume
$24,999.99
Positions
GIANTX
ST2
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$121.13
Volume
$24,414.49
Positions
Fnatic
QU3
quavoo
Event PnL
-$31.16
Volume
$12,301.00
Positions
GIANTXGIANTXGIANTX+1
RO4
roockyyyy
Event PnL
+$23.08
Volume
$4,616.33
Positions
Fnatic
LM5
lmtscapt
Event PnL
+$14.00
Volume
$3,925.59
Positions
FnaticFnaticGIANTX+3
WH6
WhattDoyoumean
Event PnL
+$17.07
Volume
$3,650.07
Positions
GIANTX
BA7
baiyutang
Event PnL
-$13.36
Volume
$3,161.11
Positions
FnaticFnatic
ST8
Stickman22
Event PnL
+$7.52
Volume
$2,499.98
Positions
GIANTX

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,900% win probability, followed by Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 6,900% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 5,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $56.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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