Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

$517.7K Vol
Aug 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
G2 Esports 100.0%
M80 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $517.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $221.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) (9,995%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,800%), and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$221.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Winner9995.0%$55.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$159.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)9995.0%$78.4K9995¢-9895¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59800.0%9800¢-9700¢
6Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59000.0%$389000¢-8900¢
7Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)9000.0%$2799000¢-8900¢
10Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs M80 (+4.5)9000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
12Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
13Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
14Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
15Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
16Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs M80 (+5.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
17Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
18Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
19Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%$1945000¢-4900¢
20Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs M80 (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
25Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
26Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51000.0%$121000¢-900¢
27Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs M80 (+2.5)1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
28Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs M80 (+4.5)1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
29Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
30Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
31Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
32Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
33Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
34Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs M80 (+7.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
35Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
36Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
37Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)200.0%$634200¢-100¢
38O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$75595¢
39Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between G2 Esports and M80 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against M80.

This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against G2 Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 19, 2026

  • 09:14 PM
    IZizowooi-naver
    $5.03

    Bought 6.62 G2 Esports for Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.76

  • 09:06 PM
    JOJoaofreios
    $9.70

    Bought 20.638296 G2 Esports for Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 09:03 PM
    0X0xFb42E04B1B14b98AB4c4Ac9E51Bff19B9b63176e-1770590271790
    $30.00

    Bought 63.829786 G2 Esports for Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 09:00 PM
    IWIwoleu
    $9.39

    Bought 19.978722 G2 Esports for Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:41 PM
    KHkhbbgf
    $115.39

    Bought 245.510637 G2 Esports for Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0xA29Eb2A6b80877200AA3f63777Bb395cE3657796-1772079645456
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276594 G2 Esports for Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:35 PM
    0X0xD533B12dEF1618ECf10Db9a268621fAa01A2d6A1-1774117468377
    $10.00

    Bought 40 M80 for Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.25

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $50.00

    Bought 106.382977 G2 Esports for Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 08:29 PM
    0X0x1E4ADc42557244f53ecf431e4b38B1C20d1C59d9-1781723557315
    $20.00

    Bought 38.461537 G2 Esports for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) at 0.52

  • 08:29 PM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $40.08

    Bought 77.075 G2 Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) at 0.52

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $29.99

    Bought 57.670908 G2 Esports for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) at 0.52

  • 08:28 PM
    LEletshope
    $5.20

    Bought 10.2 G2 Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LA1
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$3,617.56
Volume
$43,085.20
Positions
G2 EsportsG2 EsportsM80+1
KI2
KingOfEsports
Event PnL
+$1.78
Volume
$27,854.93
Positions
M80
GR3
GreenBerry1337
Event PnL
-$8,277.26
Volume
$26,499.89
Positions
G2 EsportsG2 Esports
WH4
WhattDoyoumean
Event PnL
+$4,370.59
Volume
$24,794.44
Positions
M80
ZO5
ZoeGarma
Event PnL
+$77.85
Volume
$20,063.09
Positions
M80
QU6
quavoo
Event PnL
+$4,384.67
Volume
$18,011.99
Positions
M80M80
NO7
Nooserac
Event PnL
+$3,635.60
Volume
$17,375.08
Positions
M80
FE8
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,319.58
Volume
$13,922.63
Positions
G2 EsportsM80G2 Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $517.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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