Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

$514.5K Vol
Aug 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BBL Esports 57.5%
Gentle Mates 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) sits in third with 9,975%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $514.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $116.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) (9,975%): Sitting in third place with a 9,975% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (9,955%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,955%), and Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) (9,005%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 2 Winner9995.0%$116.5K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
3Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)9975.0%$559975¢-9875¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
6Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
7Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
9Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
13Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
14Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs BBL Esports (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs BBL Esports (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs BBL Esports (+5.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Match Winner4050.0%$230.6K4050¢-3950¢
25Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5995.0%$63995¢-895¢
26Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5995.0%995¢-895¢
27Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5995.0%995¢-895¢
28Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
29Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
30Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
31Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
32Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
33Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5995.0%995¢-895¢
34Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5995.0%995¢-895¢
35Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5995.0%995¢-895¢
36Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5995.0%995¢-895¢
37Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5995.0%995¢-895¢
38Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)995.0%995¢-895¢
39Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)45.0%45¢55¢
40Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)5.0%$54095¢
41Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50.0%100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win the match against Gentle Mates.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against BBL Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:09 AM
    SOSONYKI
    $1.36

    Bought 2.385963 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 08:03 AM
    AVAviloll
    $1.75

    Bought 3.070174 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:50 AM
    DRdreamland0808
    $8.84

    Bought 15.51 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:41 AM
    RAransack
    $7.05

    Bought 21.363635 BBL Esports for Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) at 0.33

  • 07:26 AM
    SOSONYKI
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754384 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:22 AM
    THTheNextBigShort
    $11.97

    Bought 21 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:03 AM
    QUquavoo
    $4.05

    Bought 9 Gentle Mates for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner at 0.45

  • 06:58 AM
    HEHenAl3x06
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 06:00 AM
    OLoliveiraielson
    $0.01

    Sold 0.01 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

  • 05:59 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $14.12

    Bought 25.21 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

  • 05:58 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $30.00

    Bought 53.57 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

  • 05:58 AM
    LAlakd43ff
    $5.00

    Bought 8.93 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ES1
esportGG
Event PnL
+$44,523.58
Volume
$122,382.39
Positions
BBL EsportsBBL EsportsGentle Mates
NE2
neurodivergentBet
Event PnL
-$24,451.21
Volume
$50,933.66
Positions
Gentle Mates
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$19,532.21
Volume
$25,717.19
Positions
BBL Esports
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$5,053.24
Volume
$25,023.52
Positions
Gentle MatesGentle MatesBBL Esports
CR5
cruzNBA
Event PnL
+$3,190.64
Volume
$23,823.99
Positions
Gentle MatesBBL Esports
166
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$853.12
Volume
$19,700.23
Positions
BBL EsportsBBL EsportsBBL Esports
MI7
minji
Event PnL
+$4,662.36
Volume
$15,420.11
Positions
Gentle MatesBBL EsportsBBL Esports
XY8
xytest
Event PnL
+$2,526.59
Volume
$12,434.56
Positions
Gentle MatesBBL EsportsBBL Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha"?

As of the latest update, Map 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) at 9,975%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $514.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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