Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA - More Markets

$92.5K Vol
Aug 20, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 100.0%
Over 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score in First Half is dominating the market with an overwhelming 16.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $92.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (16.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score in First Half is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 17¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score in First Half16.5%17¢84¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for August 20 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 16.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 16.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score in First Half16.5%16.1%-0.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x32E00152A6a6C3733935323f368B7C4CF553A295-1769453370003
    $222.22

    Sold 222.22 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5 at 1

  • 08:29 PM
    SOsolomillo
    $15.00

    Bought 15 Yes for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 1

  • 08:26 PM
    LElets-gooooo
    $29.12

    Sold 29.41 Yes for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.99

  • 08:05 PM
    XHxhxtxh
    $4,044.73

    Sold 4044.73 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 08:02 PM
    USUserTOYO
    $26.21

    Sold 26.47 Over for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.99

  • 08:02 PM
    USUserTOYO
    $45.20

    Sold 45.2 Over for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 1

  • 07:22 PM
    0X0x3eE7f69FE46646fbc866348aa8cAbe05C1c9F36E-1775726159492
    $189.93

    Sold 189.93 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5 at 1

  • 07:05 PM
    0X0x3eE7f69FE46646fbc866348aa8cAbe05C1c9F36E-1775726159492
    $200.00

    Sold 200 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5 at 1

  • 06:56 PM
    0X0xC820DF5b69B54D4419003a435E858886973349de-1782417826260
    $909.09

    Sold 909.09 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5 at 1

  • 06:56 PM
    0X0xC820DF5b69B54D4419003a435E858886973349de-1782417826260
    $857.14

    Sold 857.14 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5 at 1

  • 06:55 PM
    0X0xe088eae164826d21b0623dEE5ECB943186A0aC6F-1771297974515
    $6.12

    Sold 6.12 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5 at 1

  • 06:53 PM
    HDhd777
    $321.58

    Bought 321.58 Under for Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5 at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$556.42
Volume
$12,543.98
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+10
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
-$4,810.17
Volume
$11,553.82
Positions
OverUnderUniversitatea Craiova CS+5
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$2,931.25
Volume
$11,099.23
Positions
OverOverOver+5
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$231.70
Volume
$7,002.05
Positions
UnderOverArarat-Armenia FA+6
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$1,620.32
Volume
$6,520.54
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+16
RA6
rabbitfoot1
Event PnL
+$684.26
Volume
$4,352.16
Positions
Under
097
0x0997…6166
Event PnL
+$2.02
Volume
$4,044.73
Positions
Under
LU8
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
-$1,327.81
Volume
$3,041.88
Positions
OverOverArarat-Armenia FA

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score in First Half leads the field as the frontrunner with a 16.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $92.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 16.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 16.1%, a negative EV Gap of -0.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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