Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999 - More Markets

$260.6K Vol
Aug 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Jagiellonia Białystok 100.0%
SK Iberia 1999 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999 - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 45% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 15.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $260.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (45%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 45¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (15.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 15.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 16¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score45.0%$2.9K45¢55¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half15.5%$39316¢85¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for August 20 at 12:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in First Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 15.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 17% — yielding an impressive +1.5% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score45.0%46.0%+1.0%
Both Teams to Score in First HalfBest EV15.5%17.0%+1.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:11 AM
    JOjohnevergreen
    $385.61

    Bought 405.91 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5 at 0.95

  • 07:36 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Under for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5 at 0.68

  • 07:08 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $0.97

    Sold 1.87 SK Iberia 1999 for Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 07:08 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $0.98

    Sold 1.26 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5 at 0.78

  • 06:41 AM
    MOMobyembre
    $99.12

    Sold 118 Under for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5 at 0.84

  • 06:40 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265819 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5 at 0.79

  • 06:40 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $48.16

    Bought 60.96 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5 at 0.79

  • 06:13 AM
    $22.14

    Bought 24.6 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5 at 0.9

  • 06:13 AM
    $295.47

    Bought 328.3 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5 at 0.9

  • 06:07 AM
    0X0xEc25c44518E113a23b708070ed960D54Ad83Dec6-1763719683733
    $294.00

    Bought 300 Jagiellonia Białystok for Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5) at 0.98

  • 05:58 AM
    ALAlexius991
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265819 Over for Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5 at 0.79

  • 05:51 AM
    $3.13

    Bought 5.905659 SK Iberia 1999 for Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5) at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$6,427.10
Volume
$28,902.16
Positions
Jagiellonia BiałystokOverYes+4
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$576.37
Volume
$18,034.34
Positions
UnderSK Iberia 1999Under+15
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$2,614.43
Volume
$14,737.09
Positions
Jagiellonia BiałystokOverOver+6
SW4
swisstony
Event PnL
-$967.78
Volume
$12,445.30
Positions
UnderSK Iberia 1999Over+15
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$1,927.71
Volume
$9,495.53
Positions
UnderSK Iberia 1999Under+6
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$227.68
Volume
$7,935.79
Positions
OverUnderJagiellonia Białystok+5
KK7
kkpay19888
Event PnL
-$1,760.00
Volume
$7,668.98
Positions
SK Iberia 1999
SN8
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$53.62
Volume
$7,645.59
Positions
UnderUnderOver+15

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Jagiellonia Białystok vs. SK Iberia 1999 - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 45% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 15.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $260.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in First Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 15.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 17% — an Expected Value gap of +1.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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