Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets

$64K Vol
Aug 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 54.5%
Under 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $64K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $14.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score57.5%$14.9K57¢43¢

Result Rules

More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 18 at 3:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 57.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 61.5% — yielding an impressive +4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV57.5%61.5%+4.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 18, 2026

  • 08:33 AM
    $1.50

    Bought 2.459015 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score at 0.61

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0xc8ee0CdBf5402Cb2280aBBbE57C530F9DcC1aFfD-1783058477878
    $20.00

    Bought 32.786884 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score at 0.61

  • 08:30 AM
    ZOzokiii
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276594 Olympique Lyonnais for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance at 0.47

  • 08:29 AM
    BUbubbsen
    $347.84

    Bought 869.6 No for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score at 0.4

  • 08:22 AM
    QUquavoo
    $2.44

    Bought 4 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score at 0.61

  • 08:19 AM
    C9C9usa
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 Olympique Lyonnais for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance at 0.47

  • 08:19 AM
    C9C9usa
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Fenerbahçe SK for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to Advance at 0.54

  • 08:15 AM
    0X0x33c9101c64b9ba0fFCC200408afA2e91891f5124-1768236962087
    $30.00

    Bought 49.180325 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score at 0.61

  • 08:13 AM
    TAtagear
    $17.71

    Bought 295.166665 Under for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5 at 0.06

  • 08:11 AM
    $3.90

    Bought 5 No for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.78

  • 08:11 AM
    PUpups10
    $0.78

    Bought 1 No for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.78

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $74.28

    Bought 121.770489 Yes for Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$6.46
Volume
$6,134.03
Positions
UnderUnderOver+4
FI2
fifaunderdog1
Event PnL
+$11.38
Volume
$3,354.99
Positions
OverNoUnder+1
SW3
swisstony
Event PnL
-$1.07
Volume
$2,691.89
Positions
NoOverOver+11
HA4
haslii
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,087.28
Positions
No
735
0x73bc…3396
Event PnL
-$3.29
Volume
$1,954.55
Positions
Fenerbahçe SK
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$5.67
Volume
$1,831.21
Positions
Fenerbahçe SKOlympique LyonnaisUnder+7
AC7
acount3
Event PnL
+$2.94
Volume
$1,721.67
Positions
YesOlympique LyonnaisOver+2
TA8
tagear
Event PnL
-$7.86
Volume
$1,390.55
Positions
Under

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $64K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 57.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 61.5% — an Expected Value gap of +4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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