
Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - Exact Score
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz is dominating the market with an overwhelming 4.5% chance of winning. Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz follows in second place at 0.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $73.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz (4.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz (0.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz maintains a 0.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz | 4.5% | $1.2K | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| 2 | Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz | 0.5% | $1.4K | 1¢ | 99¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Celtic FC and LASK Linz, scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz match originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz currently trades at 4.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 3.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 1% — yielding an impressive +0.5% EV Gap.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz | 4.5% | 3.0% | -1.4% |
| Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK LinzBest EV | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.5% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 19, 2026
- 07:47 AMCHChouIn$5.00
Bought 83.333332 Yes for Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 LASK Linz? at 0.06
- 07:25 AMUPUpTheBlues$1.20
Bought 120 Yes for Exact Score: Celtic FC 3 - 3 LASK Linz? at 0.01
- 06:54 AMUPUpTheBlues$2.50
Bought 50 Yes for Exact Score: Celtic FC 1 - 2 LASK Linz? at 0.05
- 04:42 AM——$1.00
Bought 6.666665 Yes for Exact Score: Any Other Score? at 0.15
- 04:42 AM0X0x343AE361f3FD172CF1a997Cc0cEc5E89C31E3C61-1779147592996$26.96
Bought 27.7938 No for Exact Score: Celtic FC 3 - 2 LASK Linz? at 0.97
Aug 18, 2026
- 07:11 PMUPUpTheBlues$4.95
Bought 5 No for Exact Score: Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz? at 0.99
- 03:09 PMGIGizmo69$7.50
Bought 7.73 No for Exact Score: Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz? at 0.97
- 10:41 AM——$2.00
Bought 2.061833 No for Exact Score: Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz? at 0.97
Aug 15, 2026
- 01:51 AMJAjacques-chirac$4.95
Bought 5 No for Exact Score: Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz? at 0.99
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - Exact Score"?
As of the latest update, Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz leads the field as the frontrunner with a 4.5% win probability, followed by Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz at 0.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $73.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Celtic FC 0 - 3 LASK Linz as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 1% — an Expected Value gap of +0.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Celtic FC 0 - 1 LASK Linz. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 4.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 3.1%, a negative EV Gap of -1.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.
