Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK - Exact Score

$100.4K Vol
Aug 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 57.0%
No 43.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK - Exact Score”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Other Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 11.5% chance of winning. Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK follows in second place at 10.5%, while Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK sits in third with 10.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Other Score (11.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Other Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 12¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $322 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK (10.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK maintains a 10.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 11¢.
  • Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK (10.5%): Sitting in third place with a 10.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~67.5%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Aarhus GF 2 - 0 Sabah FK (10.5%), Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK (10.5%), and Aarhus GF 3 - 0 Sabah FK (6.6%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Aarhus GF 3 - 1 Sabah FK are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Other Score11.5%$32212¢89¢
2Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK10.5%$2.9K11¢90¢
3Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK10.5%$8.6K11¢90¢
4Aarhus GF 2 - 0 Sabah FK10.5%$2.3K11¢90¢
5Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK10.5%$16.0K11¢90¢
6Aarhus GF 3 - 0 Sabah FK6.6%$4.2K93¢
7Aarhus GF 3 - 1 Sabah FK6.5%$10.1K94¢
8Aarhus GF 0 - 0 Sabah FK5.5%$7.1K95¢
9Aarhus GF 3 - 2 Sabah FK3.1%$10.5K97¢
10Aarhus GF 3 - 3 Sabah FK1.1%$6.7K99¢
11Aarhus GF 0 - 3 Sabah FK0.8%$1.6K99¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Aarhus GF and Sabah FK, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Aarhus GF 3 - 0 Sabah FK currently trades at 6.6%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 3.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -3%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 10.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 19.2% — yielding an impressive +8.7% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK (EV Gap: +1.3%) and Aarhus GF 0 - 0 Sabah FK (EV Gap: +0.9%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Any Other Score11.5%10.2%-1.3%
Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK10.5%9.3%-1.2%
Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK10.5%11.8%+1.3%
Aarhus GF 2 - 0 Sabah FK10.5%8.2%-2.3%
Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FKBest EV10.5%19.2%+8.7%
Aarhus GF 3 - 0 Sabah FK6.6%3.6%-3.0%
Aarhus GF 3 - 1 Sabah FK6.5%5.1%-1.4%
Aarhus GF 0 - 0 Sabah FK5.5%6.4%+0.9%
Aarhus GF 3 - 2 Sabah FK3.1%2.0%-1.1%
Aarhus GF 3 - 3 Sabah FK1.1%1.0%-0.1%
Aarhus GF 0 - 3 Sabah FK0.8%1.0%+0.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 5, 2026

  • 08:00 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 7.692306 Yes for Exact Score: Any Other Score? at 0.13

  • 08:00 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.61

    Bought 12.384614 Yes for Exact Score: Any Other Score? at 0.13

  • 07:44 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.13

    Bought 106.470587 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 3 Sabah FK? at 0.02

  • 07:43 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 27.142856 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 3 - 1 Sabah FK? at 0.07

  • 07:43 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.73

    Bought 34.545453 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 2 Sabah FK? at 0.05

  • 07:43 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.24

    Bought 111.764704 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 3 Sabah FK? at 0.02

  • 07:43 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 17.272726 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK? at 0.11

  • 07:39 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.49

    Bought 89.811319 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 2 Sabah FK? at 0.05

  • 07:39 AM
    0X0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305-1783406206089
    $1.71

    Bought 28.57 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 2 Sabah FK? at 0.06

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.09

    Bought 69.821427 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 2 Sabah FK? at 0.03

  • 07:38 AM
    SUsuntori
    $3.35

    Bought 167.647057 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 3 Sabah FK? at 0.02

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.78

    Bought 59.375 Yes for Exact Score: Aarhus GF 3 - 2 Sabah FK? at 0.03

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SB1
sbimbg
Event PnL
+$13.60
Volume
$40,759.17
Positions
NoNoNo+8
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$897.79
Volume
$18,920.55
Positions
NoYesYes+10
BA3
Babyfacek1ller
Event PnL
-$85.00
Volume
$7,999.86
Positions
YesYes
024
0x02d3…3866
Event PnL
+$766.20
Volume
$7,783.82
Positions
YesYesYes+13
9E5
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$57.73
Volume
$7,138.63
Positions
YesYesYes+9
SW6
swisstony
Event PnL
+$65.20
Volume
$6,977.22
Positions
NoYesNo+5
407
0x40fF…7049
Event PnL
-$45.61
Volume
$5,179.20
Positions
YesYesYes+2
NM8
NM-P
Event PnL
-$228.49
Volume
$5,127.06
Positions
NoNoNo+12

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK - Exact Score"?

As of the latest update, Any Other Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 11.5% win probability, followed by Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK at 10.5% and Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK at 10.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 10.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 19.2% — an Expected Value gap of +8.7%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Aarhus GF 3 - 0 Sabah FK. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 6.6%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 3.6%, a negative EV Gap of -3% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK holds a positive EV Gap of +1.3%, and Aarhus GF 0 - 0 Sabah FK shows +0.9%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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